Recent short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by BBC Weather and AccuWeather place Wuhan's June 16 high near 32–33°C, aligning with the market's top-implied outcomes at 36% and 23% respectively. Mid-June seasonal warming in Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate typically drives daily highs above 30°C, with climatological averages around 30–31°C and potential for 34°C+ under clear, subsiding conditions. Light easterly winds and limited moisture in current guidance reduce cooling from cloud cover or rain, supporting the concentrated trader sentiment in the 31–33°C range. Official resolution will rely on verified peak readings from local meteorological stations, with any final model runs or observational updates in the next 48 hours likely to refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 16?
32°C 36%
33°C 26%
31°C 17%
34°C 8.4%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
17%
32°C
36%
33°C
26%
34°C
8%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 36%
33°C 26%
31°C 17%
34°C 8.4%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
17%
32°C
36%
33°C
26%
34°C
8%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by BBC Weather and AccuWeather place Wuhan's June 16 high near 32–33°C, aligning with the market's top-implied outcomes at 36% and 23% respectively. Mid-June seasonal warming in Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate typically drives daily highs above 30°C, with climatological averages around 30–31°C and potential for 34°C+ under clear, subsiding conditions. Light easterly winds and limited moisture in current guidance reduce cooling from cloud cover or rain, supporting the concentrated trader sentiment in the 31–33°C range. Official resolution will rely on verified peak readings from local meteorological stations, with any final model runs or observational updates in the next 48 hours likely to refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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