Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project Shanghai's June 16 overnight low near 22–23°C amid typical early-summer monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity associated with the Meiyu plum-rain pattern limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated relative to clearer periods. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day adjustments driven by subtle differences in wind speed and timing of any light precipitation, which directly influence the precise low recorded at official stations. With market-implied probabilities split closely between 22°C and 23°C, traders are pricing residual uncertainty in the final forecast run expected before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 16?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 16?
22°C 39%
23°C 36%
24°C 12%
21°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Jun 16, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
11%
22°C
39%
23°C
36%
24°C
12%
25°C
9%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 39%
23°C 36%
24°C 12%
21°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Jun 16, 2026
18°C or below
$208 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$41 Vol.
1%
20°C
$21 Vol.
5%
21°C
$24 Vol.
11%
22°C
$11 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
36%
24°C
$0 Vol.
12%
25°C
$1 Vol.
9%
26°C
$47 Vol.
1%
27°C
$22 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$22 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project Shanghai's June 16 overnight low near 22–23°C amid typical early-summer monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity associated with the Meiyu plum-rain pattern limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated relative to clearer periods. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day adjustments driven by subtle differences in wind speed and timing of any light precipitation, which directly influence the precise low recorded at official stations. With market-implied probabilities split closely between 22°C and 23°C, traders are pricing residual uncertainty in the final forecast run expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$396Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project Shanghai's June 16 overnight low near 22–23°C amid typical early-summer monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity associated with the Meiyu plum-rain pattern limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated relative to clearer periods. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day adjustments driven by subtle differences in wind speed and timing of any light precipitation, which directly influence the precise low recorded at official stations. With market-implied probabilities split closely between 22°C and 23°C, traders are pricing residual uncertainty in the final forecast run expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$396Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project Shanghai's June 16 overnight low near 22–23°C amid typical early-summer monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity associated with the Meiyu plum-rain pattern limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated relative to clearer periods. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day adjustments driven by subtle differences in wind speed and timing of any light precipitation, which directly influence the precise low recorded at official stations. With market-implied probabilities split closely between 22°C and 23°C, traders are pricing residual uncertainty in the final forecast run expected before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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