Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate rainy, cloudy conditions for Tokyo on June 15, with a projected maximum near 20–22°C that closely aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 21–22°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce incoming solar radiation and limit surface heating, while higher humidity and evaporative cooling from rain further suppress daytime peaks relative to clearer early-summer baselines. Model consensus favors modest temperatures amid the early tsuyu season transition, though small shifts in timing or intensity of showers could nudge the observed high by 1°C in either direction before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 15?
22°C 35%
21°C 32%
23°C 17%
20°C 9%
$19,998 Vol.
$19,998 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
9%
21°C
32%
22°C
35%
23°C
17%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 35%
21°C 32%
23°C 17%
20°C 9%
$19,998 Vol.
$19,998 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
9%
21°C
32%
22°C
35%
23°C
17%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate rainy, cloudy conditions for Tokyo on June 15, with a projected maximum near 20–22°C that closely aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 21–22°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce incoming solar radiation and limit surface heating, while higher humidity and evaporative cooling from rain further suppress daytime peaks relative to clearer early-summer baselines. Model consensus favors modest temperatures amid the early tsuyu season transition, though small shifts in timing or intensity of showers could nudge the observed high by 1°C in either direction before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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