Building high pressure over western Europe is driving a warming trend across northern France, with Météo-France and ensemble models indicating mostly sunny conditions and strong June insolation that should push Paris daytime maxima into the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius by June 16. Recent stabilization after early-month Atlantic disturbances has reduced cloud cover and precipitation chances, supporting surface heating under light winds and subsidence. The tight clustering between 29 °C and 30 °C in market prices reflects small ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any weak frontal approaches, and local urban heat-island effects captured by high-resolution models such as AROME or ECMWF. Minor forecast revisions in the next 48 hours could shift the precise peak by a degree as new observational data refine the ridge strength.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on June 16?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 16?
30°C 35%
29°C 34%
28°C 15%
31°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Jun 16, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
15%
29°C
34%
30°C
35%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 35%
29°C 34%
28°C 15%
31°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Jun 16, 2026
25°C or below
$142 Vol.
1%
26°C
$267 Vol.
2%
27°C
$271 Vol.
7%
28°C
$127 Vol.
15%
29°C
$339 Vol.
34%
30°C
$192 Vol.
35%
31°C
$582 Vol.
8%
32°C
$165 Vol.
2%
33°C
$283 Vol.
1%
34°C
$80 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$177 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Building high pressure over western Europe is driving a warming trend across northern France, with Météo-France and ensemble models indicating mostly sunny conditions and strong June insolation that should push Paris daytime maxima into the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius by June 16. Recent stabilization after early-month Atlantic disturbances has reduced cloud cover and precipitation chances, supporting surface heating under light winds and subsidence. The tight clustering between 29 °C and 30 °C in market prices reflects small ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any weak frontal approaches, and local urban heat-island effects captured by high-resolution models such as AROME or ECMWF. Minor forecast revisions in the next 48 hours could shift the precise peak by a degree as new observational data refine the ridge strength.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volume
$2,566Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Building high pressure over western Europe is driving a warming trend across northern France, with Météo-France and ensemble models indicating mostly sunny conditions and strong June insolation that should push Paris daytime maxima into the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius by June 16. Recent stabilization after early-month Atlantic disturbances has reduced cloud cover and precipitation chances, supporting surface heating under light winds and subsidence. The tight clustering between 29 °C and 30 °C in market prices reflects small ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any weak frontal approaches, and local urban heat-island effects captured by high-resolution models such as AROME or ECMWF. Minor forecast revisions in the next 48 hours could shift the precise peak by a degree as new observational data refine the ridge strength.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,566Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Building high pressure over western Europe is driving a warming trend across northern France, with Météo-France and ensemble models indicating mostly sunny conditions and strong June insolation that should push Paris daytime maxima into the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius by June 16. Recent stabilization after early-month Atlantic disturbances has reduced cloud cover and precipitation chances, supporting surface heating under light winds and subsidence. The tight clustering between 29 °C and 30 °C in market prices reflects small ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any weak frontal approaches, and local urban heat-island effects captured by high-resolution models such as AROME or ECMWF. Minor forecast revisions in the next 48 hours could shift the precise peak by a degree as new observational data refine the ridge strength.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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