Official forecasts from European numerical weather prediction models and Météo-France guidance indicate a daytime maximum of 27–28°C in Paris on June 15 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light easterly winds. This consensus, informed by current high-pressure influence and limited cloud cover following June 14’s warmer readings near 26–30°C, positions those outcomes as market leaders. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty tied to afternoon heating rates and urban heat-island effects, while historical June averages of 23–24°C provide climatological context for the elevated but not extreme values. Updated model runs and any late-day observational adjustments from monitoring stations remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine implied probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on June 15?
28°C 43%
27°C 30%
29°C 17%
26°C 9%
$14,506 Vol.
$14,506 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
9%
27°C
30%
28°C
43%
29°C
17%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 43%
27°C 30%
29°C 17%
26°C 9%
$14,506 Vol.
$14,506 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
9%
27°C
30%
28°C
43%
29°C
17%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from European numerical weather prediction models and Météo-France guidance indicate a daytime maximum of 27–28°C in Paris on June 15 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light easterly winds. This consensus, informed by current high-pressure influence and limited cloud cover following June 14’s warmer readings near 26–30°C, positions those outcomes as market leaders. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty tied to afternoon heating rates and urban heat-island effects, while historical June averages of 23–24°C provide climatological context for the elevated but not extreme values. Updated model runs and any late-day observational adjustments from monitoring stations remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine implied probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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