Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a daily maximum of 32°C in Guangzhou today because official forecasts and ensemble model runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global guidance show stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow supporting afternoon temperatures that peak at that precise value. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the Pearl River Delta, where historical observations typically range 31–33°C under similar synoptic patterns. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect strong agreement across deterministic and probabilistic guidance with little spread in predicted maxima. Only an unanticipated late-day convective cell or station-specific measurement adjustment could realistically alter the official reading before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 14?
32°C 99.8%
33°C or higher <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$59,291 Vol.
$59,291 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C or higher
1%
32°C 99.8%
33°C or higher <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$59,291 Vol.
$59,291 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a daily maximum of 32°C in Guangzhou today because official forecasts and ensemble model runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global guidance show stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow supporting afternoon temperatures that peak at that precise value. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the Pearl River Delta, where historical observations typically range 31–33°C under similar synoptic patterns. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect strong agreement across deterministic and probabilistic guidance with little spread in predicted maxima. Only an unanticipated late-day convective cell or station-specific measurement adjustment could realistically alter the official reading before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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