Current short-range forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models indicate a peak temperature of 33–34°C in Madrid on June 16 under high-pressure dominance and mostly clear skies, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability above 64%. Seasonal normals for mid-June hover near 29°C, so the expected anomaly reflects warm-air advection and strong daytime heating with low humidity and light winds. Model consensus shows limited spread for this timeframe, though minor shifts in timing or localized cloud development could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C. Updated runs from European and global ensembles will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on June 16?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 16?
33°C 39%
34°C 27%
32°C 13%
31°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Jun 16, 2026
30°C or below
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
13%
33°C
39%
34°C
27%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 39%
34°C 27%
32°C 13%
31°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Jun 16, 2026
30°C or below
$86 Vol.
3%
31°C
$75 Vol.
8%
32°C
$58 Vol.
13%
33°C
$120 Vol.
39%
34°C
$148 Vol.
27%
35°C
$20 Vol.
6%
36°C
$45 Vol.
1%
37°C
$45 Vol.
1%
38°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models indicate a peak temperature of 33–34°C in Madrid on June 16 under high-pressure dominance and mostly clear skies, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability above 64%. Seasonal normals for mid-June hover near 29°C, so the expected anomaly reflects warm-air advection and strong daytime heating with low humidity and light winds. Model consensus shows limited spread for this timeframe, though minor shifts in timing or localized cloud development could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C. Updated runs from European and global ensembles will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$608Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models indicate a peak temperature of 33–34°C in Madrid on June 16 under high-pressure dominance and mostly clear skies, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability above 64%. Seasonal normals for mid-June hover near 29°C, so the expected anomaly reflects warm-air advection and strong daytime heating with low humidity and light winds. Model consensus shows limited spread for this timeframe, though minor shifts in timing or localized cloud development could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C. Updated runs from European and global ensembles will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$608Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models indicate a peak temperature of 33–34°C in Madrid on June 16 under high-pressure dominance and mostly clear skies, positioning these outcomes as market leaders with combined implied probability above 64%. Seasonal normals for mid-June hover near 29°C, so the expected anomaly reflects warm-air advection and strong daytime heating with low humidity and light winds. Model consensus shows limited spread for this timeframe, though minor shifts in timing or localized cloud development could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C. Updated runs from European and global ensembles will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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