Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime high of 31°C for Madrid on June 15, with some models suggesting 32°C under clear skies and light winds. This tight market split between those two outcomes reflects minor uncertainties in peak heating timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day cloud development within the dominant high-pressure regime. Madrid’s urban heat island and surrounding plateau topography amplify daytime maxima during June’s strong solar insolation, while low humidity and minimal advection keep temperatures sensitive to small changes in radiative forcing or wind speed. Traders weigh the latest model runs against historical June averages near 29–30°C, positioning the market where forecast spread is greatest.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
31°C 40%
32°C 39%
30°C 12%
33°C 9.4%
BARU
$15,048 Vol.
BARU
$15,048 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
12%
31°C
40%
32°C
39%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 40%
32°C 39%
30°C 12%
33°C 9.4%
BARU
$15,048 Vol.
BARU
$15,048 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
27°C or below
$399 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,627 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,617 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,673 Vol.
12%
31°C
$1,222 Vol.
40%
32°C
$1,752 Vol.
39%
33°C
$2,117 Vol.
9%
34°C
$2,675 Vol.
2%
35°C
$1,086 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$333 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$706 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime high of 31°C for Madrid on June 15, with some models suggesting 32°C under clear skies and light winds. This tight market split between those two outcomes reflects minor uncertainties in peak heating timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day cloud development within the dominant high-pressure regime. Madrid’s urban heat island and surrounding plateau topography amplify daytime maxima during June’s strong solar insolation, while low humidity and minimal advection keep temperatures sensitive to small changes in radiative forcing or wind speed. Traders weigh the latest model runs against historical June averages near 29–30°C, positioning the market where forecast spread is greatest.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volume
$15,048Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime high of 31°C for Madrid on June 15, with some models suggesting 32°C under clear skies and light winds. This tight market split between those two outcomes reflects minor uncertainties in peak heating timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day cloud development within the dominant high-pressure regime. Madrid’s urban heat island and surrounding plateau topography amplify daytime maxima during June’s strong solar insolation, while low humidity and minimal advection keep temperatures sensitive to small changes in radiative forcing or wind speed. Traders weigh the latest model runs against historical June averages near 29–30°C, positioning the market where forecast spread is greatest.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,048Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime high of 31°C for Madrid on June 15, with some models suggesting 32°C under clear skies and light winds. This tight market split between those two outcomes reflects minor uncertainties in peak heating timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day cloud development within the dominant high-pressure regime. Madrid’s urban heat island and surrounding plateau topography amplify daytime maxima during June’s strong solar insolation, while low humidity and minimal advection keep temperatures sensitive to small changes in radiative forcing or wind speed. Traders weigh the latest model runs against historical June averages near 29–30°C, positioning the market where forecast spread is greatest.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan