Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting model guidance position Seoul’s June 14 maximum near 26°C under stable early-summer conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited daytime heating. This narrow consensus aligns with climatological norms for mid-June and current observations showing daytime peaks in that range rather than the broader 24–29°C spread seen in monthly outlooks. The 99.7% market-implied probability for 26°C reflects traders’ assessment of low forecast uncertainty on resolution day. A sudden increase in cloud cover or convective rain could suppress the high by 1–2°C, while unexpected clear skies and reduced moisture might allow a brief spike to 27°C or higher, though both outcomes remain low-probability given the latest guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul on June 14?
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 14?
26°C 99.6%
28°C <1%
29°C or higher <1%
19°C or below <1%
$227,889 Vol.
$227,889 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.6%
28°C <1%
29°C or higher <1%
19°C or below <1%
$227,889 Vol.
$227,889 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
19°C or below
$1,573 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$337 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,418 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,991 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$12,660 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$22,487 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$26,843 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$42,625 Vol.
100%
27°C
$46,764 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$37,071 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$34,166 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting model guidance position Seoul’s June 14 maximum near 26°C under stable early-summer conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited daytime heating. This narrow consensus aligns with climatological norms for mid-June and current observations showing daytime peaks in that range rather than the broader 24–29°C spread seen in monthly outlooks. The 99.7% market-implied probability for 26°C reflects traders’ assessment of low forecast uncertainty on resolution day. A sudden increase in cloud cover or convective rain could suppress the high by 1–2°C, while unexpected clear skies and reduced moisture might allow a brief spike to 27°C or higher, though both outcomes remain low-probability given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$227,889Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting model guidance position Seoul’s June 14 maximum near 26°C under stable early-summer conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited daytime heating. This narrow consensus aligns with climatological norms for mid-June and current observations showing daytime peaks in that range rather than the broader 24–29°C spread seen in monthly outlooks. The 99.7% market-implied probability for 26°C reflects traders’ assessment of low forecast uncertainty on resolution day. A sudden increase in cloud cover or convective rain could suppress the high by 1–2°C, while unexpected clear skies and reduced moisture might allow a brief spike to 27°C or higher, though both outcomes remain low-probability given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$227,889Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting model guidance position Seoul’s June 14 maximum near 26°C under stable early-summer conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited daytime heating. This narrow consensus aligns with climatological norms for mid-June and current observations showing daytime peaks in that range rather than the broader 24–29°C spread seen in monthly outlooks. The 99.7% market-implied probability for 26°C reflects traders’ assessment of low forecast uncertainty on resolution day. A sudden increase in cloud cover or convective rain could suppress the high by 1–2°C, while unexpected clear skies and reduced moisture might allow a brief spike to 27°C or higher, though both outcomes remain low-probability given the latest guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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