**Trader consensus strongly favors 33°C as Chengdu’s highest temperature on June 14, 2026, reflecting model agreement from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts showing a daytime peak near 32–33°C (roughly 90–91°F) under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity and light southerly flow.** Seasonal norms for mid-June in the Sichuan Basin place typical highs at 28–32°C; current conditions align closely with this baseline without signs of anomalous warming or cooling. Official guidance indicates limited afternoon insolation due to variable cloud cover, keeping maximum readings from exceeding the narrow 33°C threshold. Only a significant, unexpected clearing trend or shift in steering winds could push readings to 34°C or higher, while increased precipitation or thicker cloud decks remain the main downside risks. Market-implied odds capture this tight forecast range and the low historical variability for the date.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 14?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 14?
33°C 96.5%
34°C 2.7%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$48,006 Vol.
$48,006 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
97%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
33°C 96.5%
34°C 2.7%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$48,006 Vol.
$48,006 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
31°C or below
$11,042 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$10,821 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$9,707 Vol.
97%
34°C
$4,330 Vol.
3%
35°C
$3,644 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$4,009 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$2,077 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$2,674 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$652 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$713 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$611 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 33°C as Chengdu’s highest temperature on June 14, 2026, reflecting model agreement from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts showing a daytime peak near 32–33°C (roughly 90–91°F) under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity and light southerly flow.**
Seasonal norms for mid-June in the Sichuan Basin place typical highs at 28–32°C; current conditions align closely with this baseline without signs of anomalous warming or cooling. Official guidance indicates limited afternoon insolation due to variable cloud cover, keeping maximum readings from exceeding the narrow 33°C threshold. Only a significant, unexpected clearing trend or shift in steering winds could push readings to 34°C or higher, while increased precipitation or thicker cloud decks remain the main downside risks. Market-implied odds capture this tight forecast range and the low historical variability for the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$48,006Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 33°C as Chengdu’s highest temperature on June 14, 2026, reflecting model agreement from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts showing a daytime peak near 32–33°C (roughly 90–91°F) under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity and light southerly flow.**
Seasonal norms for mid-June in the Sichuan Basin place typical highs at 28–32°C; current conditions align closely with this baseline without signs of anomalous warming or cooling. Official guidance indicates limited afternoon insolation due to variable cloud cover, keeping maximum readings from exceeding the narrow 33°C threshold. Only a significant, unexpected clearing trend or shift in steering winds could push readings to 34°C or higher, while increased precipitation or thicker cloud decks remain the main downside risks. Market-implied odds capture this tight forecast range and the low historical variability for the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$48,006Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors 33°C as Chengdu’s highest temperature on June 14, 2026, reflecting model agreement from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts showing a daytime peak near 32–33°C (roughly 90–91°F) under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity and light southerly flow.** Seasonal norms for mid-June in the Sichuan Basin place typical highs at 28–32°C; current conditions align closely with this baseline without signs of anomalous warming or cooling. Official guidance indicates limited afternoon insolation due to variable cloud cover, keeping maximum readings from exceeding the narrow 33°C threshold. Only a significant, unexpected clearing trend or shift in steering winds could push readings to 34°C or higher, while increased precipitation or thicker cloud decks remain the main downside risks. Market-implied odds capture this tight forecast range and the low historical variability for the date.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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