Forecast models from meteorological agencies project a high of 30–32°C for Chengdu on June 15, driven by persistent cloud cover and the onset of the regional rainy season that reduces solar insolation and caps daytime heating. This aligns with June climatology showing average maxima near 30°C, with humidity and scattered showers further moderating extremes. Market-implied odds heavily favor 31°C or below, reflecting consensus on these stable atmospheric conditions rather than outlier heat. Resolution hinges on official daily maximum readings, with limited upside risk absent a rapid clearing trend.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 15?
31°C or below 63%
32°C 27%
33°C 9%
34°C 5.0%
$15,053 Vol.
$15,053 Vol.
31°C or below
63%
32°C
27%
33°C
9%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
31°C or below 63%
32°C 27%
33°C 9%
34°C 5.0%
$15,053 Vol.
$15,053 Vol.
31°C or below
63%
32°C
27%
33°C
9%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from meteorological agencies project a high of 30–32°C for Chengdu on June 15, driven by persistent cloud cover and the onset of the regional rainy season that reduces solar insolation and caps daytime heating. This aligns with June climatology showing average maxima near 30°C, with humidity and scattered showers further moderating extremes. Market-implied odds heavily favor 31°C or below, reflecting consensus on these stable atmospheric conditions rather than outlier heat. Resolution hinges on official daily maximum readings, with limited upside risk absent a rapid clearing trend.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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