Latest short-term forecast models indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on June 16 most likely in the 27–29°C range, driven by increased cloud cover and moisture from the East Asian monsoon suppressing daytime heating. In Chengdu’s subtropical climate, typical mid-June highs average 28–30°C, but recent observational trends and ensemble guidance show persistent overcast conditions limiting solar insolation and potential for light rain, which aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C or below (38%) and 28°C (24.5%). NOAA and regional model consensus highlight steering patterns favoring stable, humid air masses rather than clear-sky intensification, with low odds for extremes above 32°C reflecting historical rarity this early in the season and minimal heat advection signals. Updated model runs expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 16?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 16?
27°C or below 38%
28°C 26%
29°C 17%
30°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Jun 16, 2026
27°C or below
38%
28°C
26%
29°C
17%
30°C
12%
31°C
5%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
27°C or below 38%
28°C 26%
29°C 17%
30°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Jun 16, 2026
27°C or below
$293 Vol.
38%
28°C
$220 Vol.
26%
29°C
$56 Vol.
17%
30°C
$0 Vol.
12%
31°C
$298 Vol.
5%
32°C
$30 Vol.
4%
33°C
$502 Vol.
1%
34°C
$672 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$622 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$651 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$873 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-term forecast models indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on June 16 most likely in the 27–29°C range, driven by increased cloud cover and moisture from the East Asian monsoon suppressing daytime heating. In Chengdu’s subtropical climate, typical mid-June highs average 28–30°C, but recent observational trends and ensemble guidance show persistent overcast conditions limiting solar insolation and potential for light rain, which aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C or below (38%) and 28°C (24.5%). NOAA and regional model consensus highlight steering patterns favoring stable, humid air masses rather than clear-sky intensification, with low odds for extremes above 32°C reflecting historical rarity this early in the season and minimal heat advection signals. Updated model runs expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$4,204Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-term forecast models indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on June 16 most likely in the 27–29°C range, driven by increased cloud cover and moisture from the East Asian monsoon suppressing daytime heating. In Chengdu’s subtropical climate, typical mid-June highs average 28–30°C, but recent observational trends and ensemble guidance show persistent overcast conditions limiting solar insolation and potential for light rain, which aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C or below (38%) and 28°C (24.5%). NOAA and regional model consensus highlight steering patterns favoring stable, humid air masses rather than clear-sky intensification, with low odds for extremes above 32°C reflecting historical rarity this early in the season and minimal heat advection signals. Updated model runs expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,204Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-term forecast models indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on June 16 most likely in the 27–29°C range, driven by increased cloud cover and moisture from the East Asian monsoon suppressing daytime heating. In Chengdu’s subtropical climate, typical mid-June highs average 28–30°C, but recent observational trends and ensemble guidance show persistent overcast conditions limiting solar insolation and potential for light rain, which aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C or below (38%) and 28°C (24.5%). NOAA and regional model consensus highlight steering patterns favoring stable, humid air masses rather than clear-sky intensification, with low odds for extremes above 32°C reflecting historical rarity this early in the season and minimal heat advection signals. Updated model runs expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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