National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on June 13, 2026, centered on a daily high of 82–83°F at Sea-Tac International Airport, driving the overwhelming 95.7% market-implied probability for that band. Model consensus from NOAA and supporting agencies aligned on stable high-pressure conditions favoring modest warming without significant marine influence or cloud cover to suppress temperatures, consistent with late-spring climatology where highs rarely exceed the low 80s absent anomalous heat. Traders weighted official observations at the resolution station heavily, as even minor forecast revisions rarely shift outcomes this close to resolution. A realistic challenge would require unexpected post-frontal clearing or localized warming pushing the official reading into the 84–85°F range, though current data show low odds for such deviation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seattle on June 13?
82-83°F 99.4%
84-85°F <1%
86°F or higher <1%
67°F or below <1%
$56,603 Vol.
$56,603 Vol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
99%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 99.4%
84-85°F <1%
86°F or higher <1%
67°F or below <1%
$56,603 Vol.
$56,603 Vol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
99%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on June 13, 2026, centered on a daily high of 82–83°F at Sea-Tac International Airport, driving the overwhelming 95.7% market-implied probability for that band. Model consensus from NOAA and supporting agencies aligned on stable high-pressure conditions favoring modest warming without significant marine influence or cloud cover to suppress temperatures, consistent with late-spring climatology where highs rarely exceed the low 80s absent anomalous heat. Traders weighted official observations at the resolution station heavily, as even minor forecast revisions rarely shift outcomes this close to resolution. A realistic challenge would require unexpected post-frontal clearing or localized warming pushing the official reading into the 84–85°F range, though current data show low odds for such deviation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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