Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts point to a 23–24°C high in London on June 15 under high pressure, with sunny intervals and light southerly winds, yet market odds cluster tightly on 22–23°C because ensemble models diverge on afternoon cloud persistence and boundary-layer mixing depth. These variables can easily suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C through reduced insolation or enhanced turbulent heat loss. Southerly flow advects slightly warmer air from the continent, but any increase in stratocumulus or weaker mixing would favor the lower outcome, while clearer skies and stronger insolation support the higher bin. Traders weigh the latest model runs against climatological June maxima near 24°C as resolution nears.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on June 15?
23°C 37%
22°C 33%
24°C or higher 17.0%
21°C 12%
$22,935 Vol.
$22,935 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
12%
22°C
33%
23°C
37%
24°C or higher
17%
23°C 37%
22°C 33%
24°C or higher 17.0%
21°C 12%
$22,935 Vol.
$22,935 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
12%
22°C
33%
23°C
37%
24°C or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts point to a 23–24°C high in London on June 15 under high pressure, with sunny intervals and light southerly winds, yet market odds cluster tightly on 22–23°C because ensemble models diverge on afternoon cloud persistence and boundary-layer mixing depth. These variables can easily suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C through reduced insolation or enhanced turbulent heat loss. Southerly flow advects slightly warmer air from the continent, but any increase in stratocumulus or weaker mixing would favor the lower outcome, while clearer skies and stronger insolation support the higher bin. Traders weigh the latest model runs against climatological June maxima near 24°C as resolution nears.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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