**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements record a minimum of 26°C on June 14, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus at 99.9% implied probability.** Typical June subtropical conditions feature overnight lows near 26–28°C amid high humidity and cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling, while light northeasterly winds and 80–95% relative humidity support gradual temperature drops without sharp nocturnal plunges. Multiple forecasts from AccuWeather and the Observatory align on a 26°C low paired with daytime highs near 29–30°C under cloudy skies and scattered showers. This outcome matches historical June baselines and current model consensus. The primary risk of deviation would require an unexpected late-night wind shift or clearing that allows extra cooling below 26°C, but observed conditions and real-time data have ruled this out.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?
26°C 99.8%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$78,606 Vol.
$78,606 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$78,606 Vol.
$78,606 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
22°C or below
$2,923 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$9,108 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$6,310 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$9,591 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$14,507 Vol.
100%
27°C
$8,049 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$18,740 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,709 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$506 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$463 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,756 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements record a minimum of 26°C on June 14, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus at 99.9% implied probability.** Typical June subtropical conditions feature overnight lows near 26–28°C amid high humidity and cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling, while light northeasterly winds and 80–95% relative humidity support gradual temperature drops without sharp nocturnal plunges. Multiple forecasts from AccuWeather and the Observatory align on a 26°C low paired with daytime highs near 29–30°C under cloudy skies and scattered showers. This outcome matches historical June baselines and current model consensus. The primary risk of deviation would require an unexpected late-night wind shift or clearing that allows extra cooling below 26°C, but observed conditions and real-time data have ruled this out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$78,606Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements record a minimum of 26°C on June 14, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus at 99.9% implied probability.** Typical June subtropical conditions feature overnight lows near 26–28°C amid high humidity and cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling, while light northeasterly winds and 80–95% relative humidity support gradual temperature drops without sharp nocturnal plunges. Multiple forecasts from AccuWeather and the Observatory align on a 26°C low paired with daytime highs near 29–30°C under cloudy skies and scattered showers. This outcome matches historical June baselines and current model consensus. The primary risk of deviation would require an unexpected late-night wind shift or clearing that allows extra cooling below 26°C, but observed conditions and real-time data have ruled this out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$78,606Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements record a minimum of 26°C on June 14, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus at 99.9% implied probability.** Typical June subtropical conditions feature overnight lows near 26–28°C amid high humidity and cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling, while light northeasterly winds and 80–95% relative humidity support gradual temperature drops without sharp nocturnal plunges. Multiple forecasts from AccuWeather and the Observatory align on a 26°C low paired with daytime highs near 29–30°C under cloudy skies and scattered showers. This outcome matches historical June baselines and current model consensus. The primary risk of deviation would require an unexpected late-night wind shift or clearing that allows extra cooling below 26°C, but observed conditions and real-time data have ruled this out.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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