Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles indicate a peak temperature in the upper 80s for New York City on June 14, 2026, driven by a building high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, light southerly flow, and ample June insolation with minimal cloud cover. This setup aligns with climatological warming trends, where mid-June averages near 80°F but recent seasonal outlooks project 1–2°F above normal amid broader Northeast heat potential. Official Central Park observations will resolve the market, with traders weighting the latest model runs showing limited moisture or frontal passages that could cap readings below 90°F or push them higher under stronger ridging. Updated guidance through the afternoon will refine these implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on June 14?
Highest temperature in NYC on June 14?
88-89°F 57%
86-87°F 22%
90-91°F 11%
84-85°F 4.0%
$29,722 Vol.
$29,722 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
83°F or below
1%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
22%
88-89°F
57%
90-91°F
11%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 57%
86-87°F 22%
90-91°F 11%
84-85°F 4.0%
$29,722 Vol.
$29,722 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
83°F or below
$2,807 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$3,396 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$3,597 Vol.
22%
88-89°F
$2,748 Vol.
57%
90-91°F
$6,272 Vol.
11%
92-93°F
$4,060 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$3,831 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$1,867 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$995 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$432 Vol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$401 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles indicate a peak temperature in the upper 80s for New York City on June 14, 2026, driven by a building high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, light southerly flow, and ample June insolation with minimal cloud cover. This setup aligns with climatological warming trends, where mid-June averages near 80°F but recent seasonal outlooks project 1–2°F above normal amid broader Northeast heat potential. Official Central Park observations will resolve the market, with traders weighting the latest model runs showing limited moisture or frontal passages that could cap readings below 90°F or push them higher under stronger ridging. Updated guidance through the afternoon will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$29,722Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles indicate a peak temperature in the upper 80s for New York City on June 14, 2026, driven by a building high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, light southerly flow, and ample June insolation with minimal cloud cover. This setup aligns with climatological warming trends, where mid-June averages near 80°F but recent seasonal outlooks project 1–2°F above normal amid broader Northeast heat potential. Official Central Park observations will resolve the market, with traders weighting the latest model runs showing limited moisture or frontal passages that could cap readings below 90°F or push them higher under stronger ridging. Updated guidance through the afternoon will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,722Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles indicate a peak temperature in the upper 80s for New York City on June 14, 2026, driven by a building high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, light southerly flow, and ample June insolation with minimal cloud cover. This setup aligns with climatological warming trends, where mid-June averages near 80°F but recent seasonal outlooks project 1–2°F above normal amid broader Northeast heat potential. Official Central Park observations will resolve the market, with traders weighting the latest model runs showing limited moisture or frontal passages that could cap readings below 90°F or push them higher under stronger ridging. Updated guidance through the afternoon will refine these implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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