Recent National Weather Service guidance indicates a partly sunny Monday with a high near 82°F and a 30% chance of afternoon showers, placing the most likely peak in the upper 70s to low 80s. This stems from a post-frontal pattern with moderate southerly flow, limited instability, and potential sea-breeze moderation along the coast that caps afternoon maxima. Ensemble spreads and model differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover create the tight clustering around 78–81°F outcomes, while historical mid-June Central Park averages near 80°F provide climatological context. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through Monday morning will refine convective timing and peak temperature thresholds critical for market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on June 15?
78-79°F 37%
80-81°F 30%
82-83°F 19.1%
76-77°F 9%
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 37%
80-81°F 30%
82-83°F 19.1%
76-77°F 9%
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance indicates a partly sunny Monday with a high near 82°F and a 30% chance of afternoon showers, placing the most likely peak in the upper 70s to low 80s. This stems from a post-frontal pattern with moderate southerly flow, limited instability, and potential sea-breeze moderation along the coast that caps afternoon maxima. Ensemble spreads and model differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover create the tight clustering around 78–81°F outcomes, while historical mid-June Central Park averages near 80°F provide climatological context. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through Monday morning will refine convective timing and peak temperature thresholds critical for market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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