Traders see the highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15 centering near 28–29 °C because official forecasts from sources like the BBC and timeanddate models project a daily maximum around 28 °C (82 °F) amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent humidity, scattered thundery showers, and southwesterly breezes limit strong daytime heating while cloud cover and brief rain episodes suppress peaks below seasonal averages near 30–31 °C. Minor model disagreements on shower timing and intensity create the tight spread between 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 30 °C or above reflecting limited potential for clear-sky amplification. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies on precipitation timing will likely refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?
28°C 35%
29°C 32%
30°C 13%
27°C 11%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
11%
28°C
35%
29°C
32%
30°C
13%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
2%
28°C 35%
29°C 32%
30°C 13%
27°C 11%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
11%
28°C
35%
29°C
32%
30°C
13%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15 centering near 28–29 °C because official forecasts from sources like the BBC and timeanddate models project a daily maximum around 28 °C (82 °F) amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent humidity, scattered thundery showers, and southwesterly breezes limit strong daytime heating while cloud cover and brief rain episodes suppress peaks below seasonal averages near 30–31 °C. Minor model disagreements on shower timing and intensity create the tight spread between 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 30 °C or above reflecting limited potential for clear-sky amplification. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies on precipitation timing will likely refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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