**Trader consensus has converged on the 92-93°F bin at essentially 100% implied probability because official observations from Houston-area stations (primarily William P. Hobby Airport and IAH) recorded a daily maximum squarely in that range on June 13, 2026.** National Weather Service climatological data and real-time surface observations confirmed the high near the long-term normal of 92°F for the date, consistent with mid-June climatology under typical subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. Pre-event model guidance from NOAA and private forecasters had centered on 90-94°F with low spread, and post-event verification eliminated all other bins. The only realistic challenges would involve a rare station-specific data revision or an unforeseen measurement discrepancy between primary reporting sites, both of which are statistically improbable given the tight clustering of observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Houston on June 13?
Highest temperature in Houston on June 13?
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$39,591 Vol.
$39,591 Vol.
Jun 13, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
100%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$39,591 Vol.
$39,591 Vol.
Jun 13, 2026
79°F or below
$432 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$427 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$661 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$2,508 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$2,242 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$5,435 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$9,502 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$8,437 Vol.
100%
94-95°F
$5,131 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$3,065 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$1,751 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on the 92-93°F bin at essentially 100% implied probability because official observations from Houston-area stations (primarily William P. Hobby Airport and IAH) recorded a daily maximum squarely in that range on June 13, 2026.**
National Weather Service climatological data and real-time surface observations confirmed the high near the long-term normal of 92°F for the date, consistent with mid-June climatology under typical subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. Pre-event model guidance from NOAA and private forecasters had centered on 90-94°F with low spread, and post-event verification eliminated all other bins. The only realistic challenges would involve a rare station-specific data revision or an unforeseen measurement discrepancy between primary reporting sites, both of which are statistically improbable given the tight clustering of observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 11, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$39,591Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 11, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on the 92-93°F bin at essentially 100% implied probability because official observations from Houston-area stations (primarily William P. Hobby Airport and IAH) recorded a daily maximum squarely in that range on June 13, 2026.**
National Weather Service climatological data and real-time surface observations confirmed the high near the long-term normal of 92°F for the date, consistent with mid-June climatology under typical subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. Pre-event model guidance from NOAA and private forecasters had centered on 90-94°F with low spread, and post-event verification eliminated all other bins. The only realistic challenges would involve a rare station-specific data revision or an unforeseen measurement discrepancy between primary reporting sites, both of which are statistically improbable given the tight clustering of observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39,591Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 11, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged on the 92-93°F bin at essentially 100% implied probability because official observations from Houston-area stations (primarily William P. Hobby Airport and IAH) recorded a daily maximum squarely in that range on June 13, 2026.** National Weather Service climatological data and real-time surface observations confirmed the high near the long-term normal of 92°F for the date, consistent with mid-June climatology under typical subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. Pre-event model guidance from NOAA and private forecasters had centered on 90-94°F with low spread, and post-event verification eliminated all other bins. The only realistic challenges would involve a rare station-specific data revision or an unforeseen measurement discrepancy between primary reporting sites, both of which are statistically improbable given the tight clustering of observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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