Latest high-resolution forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicate Paris overnight lows will likely settle between 11–14 °C on 15 June, driven by clear anticyclonic conditions promoting radiative cooling after a mostly sunny day with light variable winds. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can alter minimum temperatures by 1–2 °C through changes in downward longwave radiation. Historical June climatology places average Paris minima near 13 °C, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms while the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 11–13 °C reflects genuine ensemble uncertainty ahead of the final observational verification at Paris-Montsouris. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on June 15?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 15?
12°C 27%
11°C 24%
13°C 18%
14°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Jun 15, 2026
10°C or below
5%
11°C
24%
12°C
23%
13°C
18%
14°C
13%
15°C
5%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
12°C 27%
11°C 24%
13°C 18%
14°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Jun 15, 2026
10°C or below
$8 Vol.
5%
11°C
$16 Vol.
24%
12°C
$26 Vol.
23%
13°C
$45 Vol.
18%
14°C
$25 Vol.
13%
15°C
$28 Vol.
5%
16°C
$271 Vol.
2%
17°C
$556 Vol.
1%
18°C
$201 Vol.
1%
19°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$32 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest high-resolution forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicate Paris overnight lows will likely settle between 11–14 °C on 15 June, driven by clear anticyclonic conditions promoting radiative cooling after a mostly sunny day with light variable winds. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can alter minimum temperatures by 1–2 °C through changes in downward longwave radiation. Historical June climatology places average Paris minima near 13 °C, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms while the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 11–13 °C reflects genuine ensemble uncertainty ahead of the final observational verification at Paris-Montsouris. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Volume
$1,244Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest high-resolution forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicate Paris overnight lows will likely settle between 11–14 °C on 15 June, driven by clear anticyclonic conditions promoting radiative cooling after a mostly sunny day with light variable winds. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can alter minimum temperatures by 1–2 °C through changes in downward longwave radiation. Historical June climatology places average Paris minima near 13 °C, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms while the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 11–13 °C reflects genuine ensemble uncertainty ahead of the final observational verification at Paris-Montsouris. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,244Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest high-resolution forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles indicate Paris overnight lows will likely settle between 11–14 °C on 15 June, driven by clear anticyclonic conditions promoting radiative cooling after a mostly sunny day with light variable winds. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can alter minimum temperatures by 1–2 °C through changes in downward longwave radiation. Historical June climatology places average Paris minima near 13 °C, so current guidance aligns closely with seasonal norms while the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 11–13 °C reflects genuine ensemble uncertainty ahead of the final observational verification at Paris-Montsouris. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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