Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from major centers have converged on an overnight minimum of 13°C for Paris on June 14, driven by clear skies, light winds, and typical mid-June radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime that allows efficient heat loss after sunset. Historical climatology places average June lows near 13–14°C, and current model guidance shows low ensemble spread with minimal risk of colder advection or enhanced cooling. This produces the overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for the 13°C bin. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in low-level cloud cover or a shift in wind direction that reduces nocturnal cooling or introduces warmer maritime air, outcomes that remain low-probability given the latest observational data and model consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on June 14?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 14?
13°C 99.7%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,124 Vol.
$12,124 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.7%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,124 Vol.
$12,124 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
9°C or below
$657 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$957 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$2,070 Vol.
1%
12°C
$1,160 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,600 Vol.
100%
14°C
$784 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$846 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,232 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$747 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$156 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$916 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from major centers have converged on an overnight minimum of 13°C for Paris on June 14, driven by clear skies, light winds, and typical mid-June radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime that allows efficient heat loss after sunset. Historical climatology places average June lows near 13–14°C, and current model guidance shows low ensemble spread with minimal risk of colder advection or enhanced cooling. This produces the overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for the 13°C bin. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in low-level cloud cover or a shift in wind direction that reduces nocturnal cooling or introduces warmer maritime air, outcomes that remain low-probability given the latest observational data and model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$12,124Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from major centers have converged on an overnight minimum of 13°C for Paris on June 14, driven by clear skies, light winds, and typical mid-June radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime that allows efficient heat loss after sunset. Historical climatology places average June lows near 13–14°C, and current model guidance shows low ensemble spread with minimal risk of colder advection or enhanced cooling. This produces the overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for the 13°C bin. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in low-level cloud cover or a shift in wind direction that reduces nocturnal cooling or introduces warmer maritime air, outcomes that remain low-probability given the latest observational data and model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,124Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from major centers have converged on an overnight minimum of 13°C for Paris on June 14, driven by clear skies, light winds, and typical mid-June radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime that allows efficient heat loss after sunset. Historical climatology places average June lows near 13–14°C, and current model guidance shows low ensemble spread with minimal risk of colder advection or enhanced cooling. This produces the overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for the 13°C bin. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in low-level cloud cover or a shift in wind direction that reduces nocturnal cooling or introduces warmer maritime air, outcomes that remain low-probability given the latest observational data and model consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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