Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate the highest temperature in Shanghai on June 15 will likely fall between 24–26°C, with ensemble runs showing close clustering around these values amid typical early-summer monsoon variability. Key differentiating factors include the strength of southerly flow advecting moisture from the East China Sea, local urban heat island effects amplifying daytime maxima, and potential for afternoon convective cloud cover to cap peaks. Historical June baselines for the region average near 28°C, but current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures support slightly cooler outcomes. Updated model guidance expected later today could shift probabilities if boundary-layer moisture or wind speeds deviate from consensus projections.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
25°C 36%
26°C 28%
24°C 21%
27°C 12%
$17,308 Vol.
$17,308 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
21%
25°C
36%
26°C
28%
27°C
12%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 36%
26°C 28%
24°C 21%
27°C 12%
$17,308 Vol.
$17,308 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
21%
25°C
36%
26°C
28%
27°C
12%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate the highest temperature in Shanghai on June 15 will likely fall between 24–26°C, with ensemble runs showing close clustering around these values amid typical early-summer monsoon variability. Key differentiating factors include the strength of southerly flow advecting moisture from the East China Sea, local urban heat island effects amplifying daytime maxima, and potential for afternoon convective cloud cover to cap peaks. Historical June baselines for the region average near 28°C, but current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures support slightly cooler outcomes. Updated model guidance expected later today could shift probabilities if boundary-layer moisture or wind speeds deviate from consensus projections.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan