Recent IMD guidance and ensemble model runs point to modest suppression of peak heating in Lucknow on June 15 through increased low- to mid-level moisture and partial cloud cover tied to an advancing monsoon trough and possible western disturbance influence. These conditions limit surface insolation and enhance convective mixing, keeping forecast maxima clustered near 37–38 °C. Historical early-June analogs show similar transitions can produce 1–2 °C day-to-day variability depending on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer humidity. With leading market probabilities nearly even between 37 °C and 38 °C, traders are weighting the narrow uncertainty band in official short-range guidance and the risk of slightly stronger or weaker convective development that could shift the observed high by a single degree.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 15?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 15?
38°C 34%
37°C 29%
39°C 17%
36°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Jun 15, 2026
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
2%
36°C
9%
37°C
29%
38°C
34%
39°C
17%
40°C
9%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C or higher
1%
38°C 34%
37°C 29%
39°C 17%
36°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Jun 15, 2026
34°C or below
$178 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,018 Vol.
2%
36°C
$205 Vol.
9%
37°C
$184 Vol.
29%
38°C
$241 Vol.
34%
39°C
$1,021 Vol.
17%
40°C
$1,014 Vol.
9%
41°C
$1,068 Vol.
1%
42°C
$525 Vol.
1%
43°C
$740 Vol.
1%
44°C or higher
$511 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent IMD guidance and ensemble model runs point to modest suppression of peak heating in Lucknow on June 15 through increased low- to mid-level moisture and partial cloud cover tied to an advancing monsoon trough and possible western disturbance influence. These conditions limit surface insolation and enhance convective mixing, keeping forecast maxima clustered near 37–38 °C. Historical early-June analogs show similar transitions can produce 1–2 °C day-to-day variability depending on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer humidity. With leading market probabilities nearly even between 37 °C and 38 °C, traders are weighting the narrow uncertainty band in official short-range guidance and the risk of slightly stronger or weaker convective development that could shift the observed high by a single degree.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$6,250Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent IMD guidance and ensemble model runs point to modest suppression of peak heating in Lucknow on June 15 through increased low- to mid-level moisture and partial cloud cover tied to an advancing monsoon trough and possible western disturbance influence. These conditions limit surface insolation and enhance convective mixing, keeping forecast maxima clustered near 37–38 °C. Historical early-June analogs show similar transitions can produce 1–2 °C day-to-day variability depending on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer humidity. With leading market probabilities nearly even between 37 °C and 38 °C, traders are weighting the narrow uncertainty band in official short-range guidance and the risk of slightly stronger or weaker convective development that could shift the observed high by a single degree.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,250Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent IMD guidance and ensemble model runs point to modest suppression of peak heating in Lucknow on June 15 through increased low- to mid-level moisture and partial cloud cover tied to an advancing monsoon trough and possible western disturbance influence. These conditions limit surface insolation and enhance convective mixing, keeping forecast maxima clustered near 37–38 °C. Historical early-June analogs show similar transitions can produce 1–2 °C day-to-day variability depending on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer humidity. With leading market probabilities nearly even between 37 °C and 38 °C, traders are weighting the narrow uncertainty band in official short-range guidance and the risk of slightly stronger or weaker convective development that could shift the observed high by a single degree.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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