Latest MetService and international model guidance for Wellington on August 17 show maximum temperatures clustering around 9–10 °C, supporting the near-even market split between those two outcomes. A cool southerly airstream, limited cloud cover, and modest daytime insolation are the main controls, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical winter variability in the region’s maritime climate. Minor shifts in wind speed or timing of any frontal passage could easily tip the daily high between the two values, while probabilities for 8 °C or 11 °C remain low absent stronger model consensus. Updated forecast runs tomorrow morning will provide the final data ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on August 17?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 17?
10°C 47%
9°C 42%
8°C 7%
11°C 3%
BARU
$18,129 Vol.
BARU
$18,129 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
7%
9°C
42%
10°C
47%
11°C
3%
12°C
2%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
10°C 47%
9°C 42%
8°C 7%
11°C 3%
BARU
$18,129 Vol.
BARU
$18,129 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
4°C or below
$110 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$106 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$1,121 Vol.
1%
7°C
$2,044 Vol.
2%
8°C
$3,272 Vol.
7%
9°C
$3,533 Vol.
42%
10°C
$3,042 Vol.
47%
11°C
$1,399 Vol.
3%
12°C
$1,372 Vol.
2%
13°C
$1,820 Vol.
<1%
14°C or higher
$309 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService and international model guidance for Wellington on August 17 show maximum temperatures clustering around 9–10 °C, supporting the near-even market split between those two outcomes. A cool southerly airstream, limited cloud cover, and modest daytime insolation are the main controls, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical winter variability in the region’s maritime climate. Minor shifts in wind speed or timing of any frontal passage could easily tip the daily high between the two values, while probabilities for 8 °C or 11 °C remain low absent stronger model consensus. Updated forecast runs tomorrow morning will provide the final data ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Volume
$18,129Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService and international model guidance for Wellington on August 17 show maximum temperatures clustering around 9–10 °C, supporting the near-even market split between those two outcomes. A cool southerly airstream, limited cloud cover, and modest daytime insolation are the main controls, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical winter variability in the region’s maritime climate. Minor shifts in wind speed or timing of any frontal passage could easily tip the daily high between the two values, while probabilities for 8 °C or 11 °C remain low absent stronger model consensus. Updated forecast runs tomorrow morning will provide the final data ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,129Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest MetService and international model guidance for Wellington on August 17 show maximum temperatures clustering around 9–10 °C, supporting the near-even market split between those two outcomes. A cool southerly airstream, limited cloud cover, and modest daytime insolation are the main controls, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical winter variability in the region’s maritime climate. Minor shifts in wind speed or timing of any frontal passage could easily tip the daily high between the two values, while probabilities for 8 °C or 11 °C remain low absent stronger model consensus. Updated forecast runs tomorrow morning will provide the final data ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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