Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like the Met Office and regional analyses indicate a daytime maximum in Moscow on June 15 most likely between 21–23°C, with ensemble spreads creating tight probabilities around the 21°C and 22°C thresholds. Primary drivers include a transient ridge of high pressure supporting modest warming, variable cloud cover limiting solar insolation, and light winds that reduce mixing and allow localized heating differences. June climatology shows average highs near 20–22°C, and current forecasts align closely with this baseline amid typical early-summer variability. Updated model runs and official station observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
22°C 30%
21°C 28%
20°C 18%
23°C 17%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
18%
21°C
28%
22°C
30%
23°C
17%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
2%
22°C 30%
21°C 28%
20°C 18%
23°C 17%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
18%
21°C
28%
22°C
30%
23°C
17%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like the Met Office and regional analyses indicate a daytime maximum in Moscow on June 15 most likely between 21–23°C, with ensemble spreads creating tight probabilities around the 21°C and 22°C thresholds. Primary drivers include a transient ridge of high pressure supporting modest warming, variable cloud cover limiting solar insolation, and light winds that reduce mixing and allow localized heating differences. June climatology shows average highs near 20–22°C, and current forecasts align closely with this baseline amid typical early-summer variability. Updated model runs and official station observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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