**Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a Tokyo overnight low of 19°C for June 12, 2026, aligning with the market's 99.9% implied probability for that outcome.** Early-summer conditions during the onset of the tsuyu rainy season feature typical nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with minimum temperatures anchored near the 18–21°C climatological range. Supporting observations show no significant cold-air advection or unusual high-pressure strengthening that would drive readings lower. The dominant consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns and limited forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated late-evening frontal passage or measurement anomaly at official stations, though current guidance shows low likelihood of deviation outside the 18–20°C band.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 12?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 12?
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$16,978 Vol.
$16,978 Vol.
Jun 12, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$16,978 Vol.
$16,978 Vol.
Jun 12, 2026
14°C or below
$708 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,029 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,527 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,125 Vol.
No
18°C
$3,998 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,209 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$1,676 Vol.
No
21°C
$567 Vol.
No
22°C
$799 Vol.
No
23°C
$838 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$502 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a Tokyo overnight low of 19°C for June 12, 2026, aligning with the market's 99.9% implied probability for that outcome.** Early-summer conditions during the onset of the tsuyu rainy season feature typical nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with minimum temperatures anchored near the 18–21°C climatological range. Supporting observations show no significant cold-air advection or unusual high-pressure strengthening that would drive readings lower. The dominant consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns and limited forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated late-evening frontal passage or measurement anomaly at official stations, though current guidance shows low likelihood of deviation outside the 18–20°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$16,978Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a Tokyo overnight low of 19°C for June 12, 2026, aligning with the market's 99.9% implied probability for that outcome.** Early-summer conditions during the onset of the tsuyu rainy season feature typical nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with minimum temperatures anchored near the 18–21°C climatological range. Supporting observations show no significant cold-air advection or unusual high-pressure strengthening that would drive readings lower. The dominant consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns and limited forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated late-evening frontal passage or measurement anomaly at official stations, though current guidance shows low likelihood of deviation outside the 18–20°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,978Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
**Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a Tokyo overnight low of 19°C for June 12, 2026, aligning with the market's 99.9% implied probability for that outcome.** Early-summer conditions during the onset of the tsuyu rainy season feature typical nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with minimum temperatures anchored near the 18–21°C climatological range. Supporting observations show no significant cold-air advection or unusual high-pressure strengthening that would drive readings lower. The dominant consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns and limited forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated late-evening frontal passage or measurement anomaly at official stations, though current guidance shows low likelihood of deviation outside the 18–20°C band.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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