Current forecasts from meteorological agencies place Mexico City’s June 10 maximum near 23–24 °C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 34.5 % and 30.5 % implied probability. At the city’s high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, strong daytime solar heating is routinely tempered by the onset of the rainy season, which brings afternoon cloud build-up, scattered showers, and evaporative cooling that caps peaks below the seasonal 25 °C average. Recent model runs show modest spread driven by variable moisture advection and urban heat-island effects, keeping the exact high within a narrow 22–25 °C window. Traders are therefore weighting the two central outcomes most heavily while discounting tails below 22 °C or above 25 °C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 10?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 10?
23°C 35%
24°C 31%
22°C 16.6%
25°C 10%
BARU
$11,412 Vol.
BARU
$11,412 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
17%
23°C
35%
24°C
31%
25°C
10%
26°C
5%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 35%
24°C 31%
22°C 16.6%
25°C 10%
BARU
$11,412 Vol.
BARU
$11,412 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
20°C or below
$3,589 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,273 Vol.
2%
22°C
$1,522 Vol.
17%
23°C
$643 Vol.
35%
24°C
$543 Vol.
31%
25°C
$991 Vol.
10%
26°C
$376 Vol.
5%
27°C
$861 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$199 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$219 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$338 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies place Mexico City’s June 10 maximum near 23–24 °C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 34.5 % and 30.5 % implied probability. At the city’s high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, strong daytime solar heating is routinely tempered by the onset of the rainy season, which brings afternoon cloud build-up, scattered showers, and evaporative cooling that caps peaks below the seasonal 25 °C average. Recent model runs show modest spread driven by variable moisture advection and urban heat-island effects, keeping the exact high within a narrow 22–25 °C window. Traders are therefore weighting the two central outcomes most heavily while discounting tails below 22 °C or above 25 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 8, 2026, 10:14 PM ET
Volume
$11,412Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 8, 2026, 10:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies place Mexico City’s June 10 maximum near 23–24 °C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 34.5 % and 30.5 % implied probability. At the city’s high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, strong daytime solar heating is routinely tempered by the onset of the rainy season, which brings afternoon cloud build-up, scattered showers, and evaporative cooling that caps peaks below the seasonal 25 °C average. Recent model runs show modest spread driven by variable moisture advection and urban heat-island effects, keeping the exact high within a narrow 22–25 °C window. Traders are therefore weighting the two central outcomes most heavily while discounting tails below 22 °C or above 25 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,412Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 8, 2026, 10:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies place Mexico City’s June 10 maximum near 23–24 °C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 34.5 % and 30.5 % implied probability. At the city’s high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, strong daytime solar heating is routinely tempered by the onset of the rainy season, which brings afternoon cloud build-up, scattered showers, and evaporative cooling that caps peaks below the seasonal 25 °C average. Recent model runs show modest spread driven by variable moisture advection and urban heat-island effects, keeping the exact high within a narrow 22–25 °C window. Traders are therefore weighting the two central outcomes most heavily while discounting tails below 22 °C or above 25 °C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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