Current MetService and supporting numerical weather models project a daily maximum of 14°C in Wellington on June 11 under typical mid-winter southerly flow, moderate winds, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns closely with the seasonal climatology of 13–14°C average highs for early June, with sea-surface temperatures around 13°C and no significant warm-air advection from subtropical ridges. Trader consensus at 99.7% for exactly 14°C reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range forecasts this close to resolution. A modest northerly shift or clearer skies could push readings to 15°C, while stronger onshore flow or increased cloud would more likely hold the high at or below 13°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on June 11?
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
$60,635 Vol.
$60,635 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
$60,635 Vol.
$60,635 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current MetService and supporting numerical weather models project a daily maximum of 14°C in Wellington on June 11 under typical mid-winter southerly flow, moderate winds, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns closely with the seasonal climatology of 13–14°C average highs for early June, with sea-surface temperatures around 13°C and no significant warm-air advection from subtropical ridges. Trader consensus at 99.7% for exactly 14°C reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range forecasts this close to resolution. A modest northerly shift or clearer skies could push readings to 15°C, while stronger onshore flow or increased cloud would more likely hold the high at or below 13°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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