National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on June 11 point to sunny skies and a high near 84°F, with a heat advisory in effect from noon onward as high pressure suppresses the typical marine layer and allows greater afternoon warming. This outlook supports the market’s tight clustering around the 82–85°F brackets, which together exceed 57% implied probability. Coastal breezes and urban heat island effects introduce modest variability, while ensemble model spreads and exact timing of any late-day onshore flow could shift the peak by a degree or two. Historical June maxima in the city average in the mid-60s to low-70s, making the current setup an above-normal but not unprecedented warm spell ahead of official National Weather Service observations at the primary reporting station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 11?
82-83°F 30%
84-85°F 28%
81°F or below 26%
86-87°F 12%
81°F or below
26%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 30%
84-85°F 28%
81°F or below 26%
86-87°F 12%
81°F or below
26%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 9, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on June 11 point to sunny skies and a high near 84°F, with a heat advisory in effect from noon onward as high pressure suppresses the typical marine layer and allows greater afternoon warming. This outlook supports the market’s tight clustering around the 82–85°F brackets, which together exceed 57% implied probability. Coastal breezes and urban heat island effects introduce modest variability, while ensemble model spreads and exact timing of any late-day onshore flow could shift the peak by a degree or two. Historical June maxima in the city average in the mid-60s to low-70s, making the current setup an above-normal but not unprecedented warm spell ahead of official National Weather Service observations at the primary reporting station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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