Close clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C for Chengdu’s June 13 maximum reflects uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts from systems such as ECMWF and GFS, which show modest daytime heating under typical early-summer subtropical ridge conditions tempered by basin humidity and variable cloud cover. Current observations place daytime maxima near 28°C, consistent with climatological June averages of 28–33°C and limited recent model shifts. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window will refine boundary-layer details and any diurnal convective development that could alter peak readings by 1–2°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 13?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 13?
33°C 21%
32°C 20%
31°C 17%
30°C or below 15%
BARU
BARU
Jun 13, 2026
30°C or below
15%
31°C
17%
32°C
20%
33°C
21%
34°C
13%
35°C
8%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 21%
32°C 20%
31°C 17%
30°C or below 15%
BARU
BARU
Jun 13, 2026
30°C or below
$0 Vol.
15%
31°C
$0 Vol.
17%
32°C
$0 Vol.
20%
33°C
$0 Vol.
21%
34°C
$6 Vol.
13%
35°C
$0 Vol.
8%
36°C
$0 Vol.
5%
37°C
$20 Vol.
2%
38°C
$0 Vol.
1%
39°C
$0 Vol.
1%
40°C or higher
$99 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C for Chengdu’s June 13 maximum reflects uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts from systems such as ECMWF and GFS, which show modest daytime heating under typical early-summer subtropical ridge conditions tempered by basin humidity and variable cloud cover. Current observations place daytime maxima near 28°C, consistent with climatological June averages of 28–33°C and limited recent model shifts. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window will refine boundary-layer details and any diurnal convective development that could alter peak readings by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 11, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Volume
$125Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 11, 2026, 12:24 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C for Chengdu’s June 13 maximum reflects uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts from systems such as ECMWF and GFS, which show modest daytime heating under typical early-summer subtropical ridge conditions tempered by basin humidity and variable cloud cover. Current observations place daytime maxima near 28°C, consistent with climatological June averages of 28–33°C and limited recent model shifts. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window will refine boundary-layer details and any diurnal convective development that could alter peak readings by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$125Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 11, 2026, 12:24 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Close clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C for Chengdu’s June 13 maximum reflects uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts from systems such as ECMWF and GFS, which show modest daytime heating under typical early-summer subtropical ridge conditions tempered by basin humidity and variable cloud cover. Current observations place daytime maxima near 28°C, consistent with climatological June averages of 28–33°C and limited recent model shifts. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window will refine boundary-layer details and any diurnal convective development that could alter peak readings by 1–2°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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