Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to maximum temperatures near 35–37°C in Lucknow on June 11 amid a gradual northwest India warming trend of 2–3°C through that date, tempered by increasing pre-monsoon moisture and possible cloud cover from Bay of Bengal influences. Historical early-June averages for the region hover around 38–42°C under heat-wave conditions driven by westerly “loo” flows from Rajasthan, yet recent observational data show slight suppression when humidity rises above 15–20% or weak troughs develop. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 35°C because short-range runs favor marginal cooling relative to the 40–44°C readings recorded in preceding days, while small differences in wind direction, boundary-layer moisture, and daytime insolation determine whether the peak settles at 34°C, 36°C, or 37°C. Updated IMD briefings and afternoon model outputs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 11?
35°C 34%
36°C 26%
34°C 20%
37°C 16%
$18,943 Vol.
$18,943 Vol.
33°C or below
3%
34°C
20%
35°C
34%
36°C
26%
37°C
16%
38°C
4%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
35°C 34%
36°C 26%
34°C 20%
37°C 16%
$18,943 Vol.
$18,943 Vol.
33°C or below
3%
34°C
20%
35°C
34%
36°C
26%
37°C
16%
38°C
4%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 9, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to maximum temperatures near 35–37°C in Lucknow on June 11 amid a gradual northwest India warming trend of 2–3°C through that date, tempered by increasing pre-monsoon moisture and possible cloud cover from Bay of Bengal influences. Historical early-June averages for the region hover around 38–42°C under heat-wave conditions driven by westerly “loo” flows from Rajasthan, yet recent observational data show slight suppression when humidity rises above 15–20% or weak troughs develop. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 35°C because short-range runs favor marginal cooling relative to the 40–44°C readings recorded in preceding days, while small differences in wind direction, boundary-layer moisture, and daytime insolation determine whether the peak settles at 34°C, 36°C, or 37°C. Updated IMD briefings and afternoon model outputs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan