Recent forecasts for Shenzhen place the June 13 maximum near 30–31°C, reflecting the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity from the South China Sea, and scattered afternoon convection typical for early June create narrow uncertainty bands in numerical weather prediction runs. Cloud cover and brief showers can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, while clearer intervals or stronger southerly flow allow readings to reach 31°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers shows model consensus clustered around these thresholds, with limited spread beyond 29–32°C. Traders weigh the latest model updates and observed trends in regional pressure gradients to refine positions ahead of the resolution window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 13?
30°C 32%
31°C 29%
29°C 22%
33°C 6.2%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
22%
30°C
32%
31°C
29%
32°C
6%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 32%
31°C 29%
29°C 22%
33°C 6.2%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
22%
30°C
32%
31°C
29%
32°C
6%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 11, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen place the June 13 maximum near 30–31°C, reflecting the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity from the South China Sea, and scattered afternoon convection typical for early June create narrow uncertainty bands in numerical weather prediction runs. Cloud cover and brief showers can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, while clearer intervals or stronger southerly flow allow readings to reach 31°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers shows model consensus clustered around these thresholds, with limited spread beyond 29–32°C. Traders weigh the latest model updates and observed trends in regional pressure gradients to refine positions ahead of the resolution window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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