**Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 31°C or above (74% implied probability) for Qingdao on June 13, 2026, reflecting current model guidance showing a warming trend with daytime maxima climbing into the upper 20s to low 30s°C.** Coastal Qingdao typically sees mid-June highs moderated by Yellow Sea breezes to around 24–27°C under average conditions, but recent forecasts highlight a high-pressure setup or reduced onshore flow that could allow stronger daytime heating. Nearby dates already show model runs near or above 30°C, supporting the elevated odds for exceeding the 31°C threshold. Key variables include cloud cover, wind direction, and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns from global models like ECMWF or GFS. Updated official guidance from Chinese meteorological agencies ahead of the date will likely influence final positioning as resolution nears.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 13?
31°C or higher 80%
30°C 16%
29°C 3.8%
28°C 3.1%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
16%
31°C or higher
80%
31°C or higher 80%
30°C 16%
29°C 3.8%
28°C 3.1%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
16%
31°C or higher
80%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 31°C or above (74% implied probability) for Qingdao on June 13, 2026, reflecting current model guidance showing a warming trend with daytime maxima climbing into the upper 20s to low 30s°C.** Coastal Qingdao typically sees mid-June highs moderated by Yellow Sea breezes to around 24–27°C under average conditions, but recent forecasts highlight a high-pressure setup or reduced onshore flow that could allow stronger daytime heating. Nearby dates already show model runs near or above 30°C, supporting the elevated odds for exceeding the 31°C threshold. Key variables include cloud cover, wind direction, and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns from global models like ECMWF or GFS. Updated official guidance from Chinese meteorological agencies ahead of the date will likely influence final positioning as resolution nears.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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