Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate mostly cloudy conditions over Tokyo through June 13, supporting overnight lows centered near the early-June climatological normal of 18–19 °C with limited radiative cooling due to elevated humidity and light winds. This consensus, reinforced by stable atmospheric patterns in the Kanto region and no significant frontal passages or anomalous warming projected in the next 48 hours, positions 19 °C and 18 °C as the leading market-implied outcomes at 36.5 % and 26 %, respectively. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-term temperature guidance against the possibility of minor downward revisions if clearer skies develop, keeping probabilities for 17 °C and below under 20 % combined. Updated model runs and official briefings through resolution will provide the next key data points.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 13?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 13?
19°C 37%
18°C 26%
20°C 22%
21°C or higher 19%
BARU
BARU
Jun 13, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
9%
17°C
15%
18°C
26%
19°C
37%
20°C
22%
21°C or higher
19%
19°C 37%
18°C 26%
20°C 22%
21°C or higher 19%
BARU
BARU
Jun 13, 2026
11°C or below
$109 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$20 Vol.
1%
15°C
$20 Vol.
1%
16°C
$6 Vol.
9%
17°C
$6 Vol.
15%
18°C
$0 Vol.
26%
19°C
$18 Vol.
37%
20°C
$0 Vol.
22%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate mostly cloudy conditions over Tokyo through June 13, supporting overnight lows centered near the early-June climatological normal of 18–19 °C with limited radiative cooling due to elevated humidity and light winds. This consensus, reinforced by stable atmospheric patterns in the Kanto region and no significant frontal passages or anomalous warming projected in the next 48 hours, positions 19 °C and 18 °C as the leading market-implied outcomes at 36.5 % and 26 %, respectively. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-term temperature guidance against the possibility of minor downward revisions if clearer skies develop, keeping probabilities for 17 °C and below under 20 % combined. Updated model runs and official briefings through resolution will provide the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$179Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate mostly cloudy conditions over Tokyo through June 13, supporting overnight lows centered near the early-June climatological normal of 18–19 °C with limited radiative cooling due to elevated humidity and light winds. This consensus, reinforced by stable atmospheric patterns in the Kanto region and no significant frontal passages or anomalous warming projected in the next 48 hours, positions 19 °C and 18 °C as the leading market-implied outcomes at 36.5 % and 26 %, respectively. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-term temperature guidance against the possibility of minor downward revisions if clearer skies develop, keeping probabilities for 17 °C and below under 20 % combined. Updated model runs and official briefings through resolution will provide the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$179Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate mostly cloudy conditions over Tokyo through June 13, supporting overnight lows centered near the early-June climatological normal of 18–19 °C with limited radiative cooling due to elevated humidity and light winds. This consensus, reinforced by stable atmospheric patterns in the Kanto region and no significant frontal passages or anomalous warming projected in the next 48 hours, positions 19 °C and 18 °C as the leading market-implied outcomes at 36.5 % and 26 %, respectively. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-term temperature guidance against the possibility of minor downward revisions if clearer skies develop, keeping probabilities for 17 °C and below under 20 % combined. Updated model runs and official briefings through resolution will provide the next key data points.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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