Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance for London on June 17 points to overnight minima near 16–17 °C, sustaining the tight market split between those two bins as the dominant driver of trader positioning. After May’s record warmth, a return toward climatological norms—daytime highs of 19–21 °C and typical June lows of 12–14 °C at Heathrow—has reduced the chance of strong radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions. Light winds, residual moisture, and possible scattered cloud are limiting further nocturnal temperature drops, while model spread remains modest two days ahead. Updated guidance and the next high-resolution runs will clarify whether subtle shifts in the pressure pattern or boundary-layer moisture push the minimum toward the lower or higher side of the current consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on June 17?
Lowest temperature in London on June 17?
17°C 43%
16°C 39%
18°C 5%
14°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Jun 17, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
3%
16°C
39%
17°C
43%
18°C
5%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 43%
16°C 39%
18°C 5%
14°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Jun 17, 2026
12°C or below
$27 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$88 Vol.
2%
14°C
$16 Vol.
4%
15°C
$16 Vol.
3%
16°C
$14 Vol.
39%
17°C
$6 Vol.
43%
18°C
$16 Vol.
5%
19°C
$0 Vol.
4%
20°C
$0 Vol.
4%
21°C
$22 Vol.
1%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance for London on June 17 points to overnight minima near 16–17 °C, sustaining the tight market split between those two bins as the dominant driver of trader positioning. After May’s record warmth, a return toward climatological norms—daytime highs of 19–21 °C and typical June lows of 12–14 °C at Heathrow—has reduced the chance of strong radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions. Light winds, residual moisture, and possible scattered cloud are limiting further nocturnal temperature drops, while model spread remains modest two days ahead. Updated guidance and the next high-resolution runs will clarify whether subtle shifts in the pressure pattern or boundary-layer moisture push the minimum toward the lower or higher side of the current consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$201Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance for London on June 17 points to overnight minima near 16–17 °C, sustaining the tight market split between those two bins as the dominant driver of trader positioning. After May’s record warmth, a return toward climatological norms—daytime highs of 19–21 °C and typical June lows of 12–14 °C at Heathrow—has reduced the chance of strong radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions. Light winds, residual moisture, and possible scattered cloud are limiting further nocturnal temperature drops, while model spread remains modest two days ahead. Updated guidance and the next high-resolution runs will clarify whether subtle shifts in the pressure pattern or boundary-layer moisture push the minimum toward the lower or higher side of the current consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$201Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance for London on June 17 points to overnight minima near 16–17 °C, sustaining the tight market split between those two bins as the dominant driver of trader positioning. After May’s record warmth, a return toward climatological norms—daytime highs of 19–21 °C and typical June lows of 12–14 °C at Heathrow—has reduced the chance of strong radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions. Light winds, residual moisture, and possible scattered cloud are limiting further nocturnal temperature drops, while model spread remains modest two days ahead. Updated guidance and the next high-resolution runs will clarify whether subtle shifts in the pressure pattern or boundary-layer moisture push the minimum toward the lower or higher side of the current consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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