Weather models reflect notable uncertainty for Beijing's maximum temperature on June 15, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to 29°C amid a spread across 27–31°C outcomes. Primary drivers include the positioning of the western Pacific subtropical high, which may promote clear skies and daytime heating, versus potential moisture influx from monsoon flows that could increase cloud cover and limit peaks. Ensemble guidance shows sensitivity to low-level wind shifts and boundary-layer humidity, while Beijing's urban heat island typically adds 1–2°C relative to rural stations. Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models will refine this range ahead of resolution, underscoring the inherent variability in short-range temperature predictions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on June 15?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 15?
29°C 34%
30°C 22%
28°C 19%
31°C 12%
BARU
$30,291 Vol.
BARU
$30,291 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
19%
29°C
34%
30°C
22%
31°C
12%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 34%
30°C 22%
28°C 19%
31°C 12%
BARU
$30,291 Vol.
BARU
$30,291 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
25°C or below
$2,772 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,170 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,333 Vol.
8%
28°C
$1,093 Vol.
19%
29°C
$1,033 Vol.
34%
30°C
$1,151 Vol.
22%
31°C
$4,363 Vol.
12%
32°C
$4,691 Vol.
2%
33°C
$4,358 Vol.
1%
34°C
$3,716 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$5,061 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Weather models reflect notable uncertainty for Beijing's maximum temperature on June 15, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to 29°C amid a spread across 27–31°C outcomes. Primary drivers include the positioning of the western Pacific subtropical high, which may promote clear skies and daytime heating, versus potential moisture influx from monsoon flows that could increase cloud cover and limit peaks. Ensemble guidance shows sensitivity to low-level wind shifts and boundary-layer humidity, while Beijing's urban heat island typically adds 1–2°C relative to rural stations. Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models will refine this range ahead of resolution, underscoring the inherent variability in short-range temperature predictions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volume
$30,291Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Weather models reflect notable uncertainty for Beijing's maximum temperature on June 15, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to 29°C amid a spread across 27–31°C outcomes. Primary drivers include the positioning of the western Pacific subtropical high, which may promote clear skies and daytime heating, versus potential moisture influx from monsoon flows that could increase cloud cover and limit peaks. Ensemble guidance shows sensitivity to low-level wind shifts and boundary-layer humidity, while Beijing's urban heat island typically adds 1–2°C relative to rural stations. Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models will refine this range ahead of resolution, underscoring the inherent variability in short-range temperature predictions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,291Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Weather models reflect notable uncertainty for Beijing's maximum temperature on June 15, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to 29°C amid a spread across 27–31°C outcomes. Primary drivers include the positioning of the western Pacific subtropical high, which may promote clear skies and daytime heating, versus potential moisture influx from monsoon flows that could increase cloud cover and limit peaks. Ensemble guidance shows sensitivity to low-level wind shifts and boundary-layer humidity, while Beijing's urban heat island typically adds 1–2°C relative to rural stations. Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models will refine this range ahead of resolution, underscoring the inherent variability in short-range temperature predictions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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