Recent forecast consensus from major models positions Wuhan's June 18 maximum near 29–31°C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied odds and reflecting modest uncertainty in peak timing. Subtropical June conditions feature strong solar heating tempered by high humidity, scattered thundery showers, and variable cloud cover that can suppress afternoon maxima by 1–2°C depending on exact arrival and duration. Steering patterns and local urban effects in the Yangtze valley further modulate whether readings reach the lower or upper end of that narrow band, while historical mid-June baselines around 28–30°C provide limited additional constraint given day-to-day variability. Updated model runs and real-time observations over the next 24 hours will likely sharpen the resolution among these adjacent outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 18?
29°C 29%
30°C 27%
31°C 27%
32°C 10%
$37,201 Vol.
$37,201 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
9%
29°C
29%
30°C
27%
31°C
27%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
29°C 29%
30°C 27%
31°C 27%
32°C 10%
$37,201 Vol.
$37,201 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
9%
29°C
29%
30°C
27%
31°C
27%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from major models positions Wuhan's June 18 maximum near 29–31°C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied odds and reflecting modest uncertainty in peak timing. Subtropical June conditions feature strong solar heating tempered by high humidity, scattered thundery showers, and variable cloud cover that can suppress afternoon maxima by 1–2°C depending on exact arrival and duration. Steering patterns and local urban effects in the Yangtze valley further modulate whether readings reach the lower or upper end of that narrow band, while historical mid-June baselines around 28–30°C provide limited additional constraint given day-to-day variability. Updated model runs and real-time observations over the next 24 hours will likely sharpen the resolution among these adjacent outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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