Recent short-term forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a peak near 32°C on September 3 under clear skies and light southerly flow, driving the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C. Persistent high pressure supports strong daytime insolation, while southerly advection of warmer boundary-layer air offsets typical September cooling; low dew points and minimal cloud cover enhance surface heating, though urban heat island effects and slight model spread in mixing depth keep 31°C and 34°C viable. Historical September 3 highs average 28–29°C, with the 33.1°C record underscoring sensitivity to these transient synoptic conditions. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on September 3?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 3?
32°C 38%
33°C 34%
31°C 14%
34°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
14%
32°C
32%
33°C
34%
34°C
13%
35°C
5%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 38%
33°C 34%
31°C 14%
34°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
27°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
28°C
$68 Vol.
1%
29°C
$5 Vol.
4%
30°C
$25 Vol.
9%
31°C
$131 Vol.
14%
32°C
$162 Vol.
32%
33°C
$91 Vol.
34%
34°C
$17 Vol.
13%
35°C
$15 Vol.
5%
36°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$16 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a peak near 32°C on September 3 under clear skies and light southerly flow, driving the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C. Persistent high pressure supports strong daytime insolation, while southerly advection of warmer boundary-layer air offsets typical September cooling; low dew points and minimal cloud cover enhance surface heating, though urban heat island effects and slight model spread in mixing depth keep 31°C and 34°C viable. Historical September 3 highs average 28–29°C, with the 33.1°C record underscoring sensitivity to these transient synoptic conditions. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$545Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a peak near 32°C on September 3 under clear skies and light southerly flow, driving the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C. Persistent high pressure supports strong daytime insolation, while southerly advection of warmer boundary-layer air offsets typical September cooling; low dew points and minimal cloud cover enhance surface heating, though urban heat island effects and slight model spread in mixing depth keep 31°C and 34°C viable. Historical September 3 highs average 28–29°C, with the 33.1°C record underscoring sensitivity to these transient synoptic conditions. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$545Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a peak near 32°C on September 3 under clear skies and light southerly flow, driving the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C. Persistent high pressure supports strong daytime insolation, while southerly advection of warmer boundary-layer air offsets typical September cooling; low dew points and minimal cloud cover enhance surface heating, though urban heat island effects and slight model spread in mixing depth keep 31°C and 34°C viable. Historical September 3 highs average 28–29°C, with the 33.1°C record underscoring sensitivity to these transient synoptic conditions. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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