Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicates a high near 28–29°C for Beijing on September 1, with mostly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and minimal precipitation supporting the tight market clustering on 29°C and 30°C. A post-summer cooling trend driven by shifting regional circulation and increased cloud cover has lowered daytime maxima from late-August peaks above 30°C, while urban heat-island effects and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between these outcomes. Historical early-September baselines near 26–28°C provide context, but current short-range guidance favors the upper end of that range. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on September 1?
30°C 34%
29°C 33%
28°C 22%
27°C 8%
24°C or below
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
8%
28°C
22%
29°C
33%
30°C
34%
31°C
12%
32°C
6%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
7%
30°C 34%
29°C 33%
28°C 22%
27°C 8%
24°C or below
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
8%
28°C
22%
29°C
33%
30°C
34%
31°C
12%
32°C
6%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicates a high near 28–29°C for Beijing on September 1, with mostly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and minimal precipitation supporting the tight market clustering on 29°C and 30°C. A post-summer cooling trend driven by shifting regional circulation and increased cloud cover has lowered daytime maxima from late-August peaks above 30°C, while urban heat-island effects and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between these outcomes. Historical early-September baselines near 26–28°C provide context, but current short-range guidance favors the upper end of that range. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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