Current short-range ensemble forecasts from MetService and supporting global models (GFS/ECMWF) position northwesterly flow over Wellington on August 30, advecting milder maritime air and supporting daytime maxima near 15–17 °C—well above the late-August climatological mean of 12–13 °C. This synoptic pattern, combined with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and only a low-probability afternoon shower, favors the upper end of the typical winter range while limiting radiative cooling. Resolution hinges on whether peak readings reach the 17 °C or 18 °C thresholds at official stations; traders are weighting the latest model consensus and historical analogs for comparable northerly setups, with implied probabilities reflecting modest remaining uncertainty in exact timing and boundary-layer mixing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on August 30?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 30?
17°C 53%
18°C 26%
16°C 12%
19°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
12%
17°C
53%
18°C
26%
19°C
3%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 53%
18°C 26%
16°C 12%
19°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
$56 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$56 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$80 Vol.
1%
14°C
$366 Vol.
1%
15°C
$187 Vol.
3%
16°C
$2,006 Vol.
12%
17°C
$476 Vol.
53%
18°C
$734 Vol.
26%
19°C
$51 Vol.
3%
20°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$50 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts from MetService and supporting global models (GFS/ECMWF) position northwesterly flow over Wellington on August 30, advecting milder maritime air and supporting daytime maxima near 15–17 °C—well above the late-August climatological mean of 12–13 °C. This synoptic pattern, combined with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and only a low-probability afternoon shower, favors the upper end of the typical winter range while limiting radiative cooling. Resolution hinges on whether peak readings reach the 17 °C or 18 °C thresholds at official stations; traders are weighting the latest model consensus and historical analogs for comparable northerly setups, with implied probabilities reflecting modest remaining uncertainty in exact timing and boundary-layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,084Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts from MetService and supporting global models (GFS/ECMWF) position northwesterly flow over Wellington on August 30, advecting milder maritime air and supporting daytime maxima near 15–17 °C—well above the late-August climatological mean of 12–13 °C. This synoptic pattern, combined with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and only a low-probability afternoon shower, favors the upper end of the typical winter range while limiting radiative cooling. Resolution hinges on whether peak readings reach the 17 °C or 18 °C thresholds at official stations; traders are weighting the latest model consensus and historical analogs for comparable northerly setups, with implied probabilities reflecting modest remaining uncertainty in exact timing and boundary-layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,084Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range ensemble forecasts from MetService and supporting global models (GFS/ECMWF) position northwesterly flow over Wellington on August 30, advecting milder maritime air and supporting daytime maxima near 15–17 °C—well above the late-August climatological mean of 12–13 °C. This synoptic pattern, combined with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and only a low-probability afternoon shower, favors the upper end of the typical winter range while limiting radiative cooling. Resolution hinges on whether peak readings reach the 17 °C or 18 °C thresholds at official stations; traders are weighting the latest model consensus and historical analogs for comparable northerly setups, with implied probabilities reflecting modest remaining uncertainty in exact timing and boundary-layer mixing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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