Forecast models from agencies and services including the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a shift to overcast skies, northeasterly flow, and widespread rain or thunderstorms on August 29, suppressing daytime heating and limiting the maximum temperature. Current runs show consensus highs clustered between 24–27 °C, with only modest afternoon recovery possible if breaks in cloud cover develop. This contrasts with the 32–33 °C readings observed on August 28 under clearer, more humid conditions. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 27 °C (38.5 %) and 28 °C (26 %) align with this range, while lower odds on 29 °C or above reflect the low likelihood of significant model errors or unexpected clearing. Updated short-range guidance and any overnight model revisions will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 29?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 29?
27°C 40%
28°C 26%
26°C 17%
29°C 8%
BARU
$12,281 Vol.
BARU
$12,281 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
17%
27°C
40%
28°C
26%
29°C
8%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 40%
28°C 26%
26°C 17%
29°C 8%
BARU
$12,281 Vol.
BARU
$12,281 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$1,251 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,191 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$622 Vol.
1%
25°C
$555 Vol.
6%
26°C
$2,708 Vol.
17%
27°C
$1,441 Vol.
40%
28°C
$1,268 Vol.
26%
29°C
$1,683 Vol.
8%
30°C
$941 Vol.
3%
31°C
$148 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$473 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies and services including the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a shift to overcast skies, northeasterly flow, and widespread rain or thunderstorms on August 29, suppressing daytime heating and limiting the maximum temperature. Current runs show consensus highs clustered between 24–27 °C, with only modest afternoon recovery possible if breaks in cloud cover develop. This contrasts with the 32–33 °C readings observed on August 28 under clearer, more humid conditions. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 27 °C (38.5 %) and 28 °C (26 %) align with this range, while lower odds on 29 °C or above reflect the low likelihood of significant model errors or unexpected clearing. Updated short-range guidance and any overnight model revisions will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$12,281Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies and services including the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a shift to overcast skies, northeasterly flow, and widespread rain or thunderstorms on August 29, suppressing daytime heating and limiting the maximum temperature. Current runs show consensus highs clustered between 24–27 °C, with only modest afternoon recovery possible if breaks in cloud cover develop. This contrasts with the 32–33 °C readings observed on August 28 under clearer, more humid conditions. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 27 °C (38.5 %) and 28 °C (26 %) align with this range, while lower odds on 29 °C or above reflect the low likelihood of significant model errors or unexpected clearing. Updated short-range guidance and any overnight model revisions will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,281Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies and services including the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a shift to overcast skies, northeasterly flow, and widespread rain or thunderstorms on August 29, suppressing daytime heating and limiting the maximum temperature. Current runs show consensus highs clustered between 24–27 °C, with only modest afternoon recovery possible if breaks in cloud cover develop. This contrasts with the 32–33 °C readings observed on August 28 under clearer, more humid conditions. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 27 °C (38.5 %) and 28 °C (26 %) align with this range, while lower odds on 29 °C or above reflect the low likelihood of significant model errors or unexpected clearing. Updated short-range guidance and any overnight model revisions will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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