**Trader consensus in the Cape Town highest-temperature market for August 30 centers on 16–18°C, with 17°C holding the clearest lead at 43.5% implied probability.** Current official and model guidance points to a mild late-winter day under partly cloudy to clear skies with moderate southerly flow, keeping daytime maxima in this narrow band. South African Weather Service outlooks and numerical guidance (ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs) show high temperatures of 15–17°C, driven by fresh southerly winds that limit solar heating while preventing significant cold-air advection. Morning fog or low cloud is expected to clear, allowing modest warming, but persistent onshore flow caps the peak. Historical late-August climatology for Cape Town averages near 18°C, so the current pattern represents slightly suppressed conditions consistent with the observed pressure gradient. No major forecast shifts have appeared in the past 24–48 hours, and the short lead time to resolution reduces uncertainty from longer-range model divergence. The tight clustering of probabilities around 16–18°C reflects this stable, moderate outlook, with lower odds on extremes reflecting the low likelihood of either strong ridging (warmer) or deeper marine influence (cooler). Updated SAWS briefings and afternoon model runs on August 29 will provide the final data points before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 30?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 30?
17°C 44%
16°C 22%
18°C 22%
19°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
22%
17°C
44%
18°C
22%
19°C
5%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 44%
16°C 22%
18°C 22%
19°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
$22 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$171 Vol.
1%
14°C
$111 Vol.
2%
15°C
$234 Vol.
5%
16°C
$325 Vol.
22%
17°C
$629 Vol.
44%
18°C
$132 Vol.
22%
19°C
$145 Vol.
5%
20°C
$24 Vol.
1%
21°C
$34 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$136 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in the Cape Town highest-temperature market for August 30 centers on 16–18°C, with 17°C holding the clearest lead at 43.5% implied probability.** Current official and model guidance points to a mild late-winter day under partly cloudy to clear skies with moderate southerly flow, keeping daytime maxima in this narrow band.
South African Weather Service outlooks and numerical guidance (ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs) show high temperatures of 15–17°C, driven by fresh southerly winds that limit solar heating while preventing significant cold-air advection. Morning fog or low cloud is expected to clear, allowing modest warming, but persistent onshore flow caps the peak. Historical late-August climatology for Cape Town averages near 18°C, so the current pattern represents slightly suppressed conditions consistent with the observed pressure gradient.
No major forecast shifts have appeared in the past 24–48 hours, and the short lead time to resolution reduces uncertainty from longer-range model divergence. The tight clustering of probabilities around 16–18°C reflects this stable, moderate outlook, with lower odds on extremes reflecting the low likelihood of either strong ridging (warmer) or deeper marine influence (cooler). Updated SAWS briefings and afternoon model runs on August 29 will provide the final data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,963Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in the Cape Town highest-temperature market for August 30 centers on 16–18°C, with 17°C holding the clearest lead at 43.5% implied probability.** Current official and model guidance points to a mild late-winter day under partly cloudy to clear skies with moderate southerly flow, keeping daytime maxima in this narrow band.
South African Weather Service outlooks and numerical guidance (ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs) show high temperatures of 15–17°C, driven by fresh southerly winds that limit solar heating while preventing significant cold-air advection. Morning fog or low cloud is expected to clear, allowing modest warming, but persistent onshore flow caps the peak. Historical late-August climatology for Cape Town averages near 18°C, so the current pattern represents slightly suppressed conditions consistent with the observed pressure gradient.
No major forecast shifts have appeared in the past 24–48 hours, and the short lead time to resolution reduces uncertainty from longer-range model divergence. The tight clustering of probabilities around 16–18°C reflects this stable, moderate outlook, with lower odds on extremes reflecting the low likelihood of either strong ridging (warmer) or deeper marine influence (cooler). Updated SAWS briefings and afternoon model runs on August 29 will provide the final data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,963Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus in the Cape Town highest-temperature market for August 30 centers on 16–18°C, with 17°C holding the clearest lead at 43.5% implied probability.** Current official and model guidance points to a mild late-winter day under partly cloudy to clear skies with moderate southerly flow, keeping daytime maxima in this narrow band. South African Weather Service outlooks and numerical guidance (ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs) show high temperatures of 15–17°C, driven by fresh southerly winds that limit solar heating while preventing significant cold-air advection. Morning fog or low cloud is expected to clear, allowing modest warming, but persistent onshore flow caps the peak. Historical late-August climatology for Cape Town averages near 18°C, so the current pattern represents slightly suppressed conditions consistent with the observed pressure gradient. No major forecast shifts have appeared in the past 24–48 hours, and the short lead time to resolution reduces uncertainty from longer-range model divergence. The tight clustering of probabilities around 16–18°C reflects this stable, moderate outlook, with lower odds on extremes reflecting the low likelihood of either strong ridging (warmer) or deeper marine influence (cooler). Updated SAWS briefings and afternoon model runs on August 29 will provide the final data points before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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