Recent model consensus and official guidance from INMET and global ensembles point to a warm, stable air mass over São Paulo on August 30, with mostly sunny skies, light northwest winds, and low humidity supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 30s°C—above the ~25°C August climatological average. Morning fog or haze may delay initial heating, while afternoon sea-breeze influences or scattered high cloud could cap the peak near official stations. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 30–32°C because short-range forecast spreads remain modest, with ensemble members differing mainly on exact wind direction and boundary-layer mixing; warmer outliers hinge on stronger subsidence and clearer skies, while cooler outcomes depend on earlier moisture return or stronger onshore flow. Updated runs from GFS and ECMWF, plus INMET’s next briefing, will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 30?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 30?
31°C 22%
32°C 20%
30°C 18%
33°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
6%
29°C
10%
30°C
18%
31°C
22%
32°C
20%
33°C
16%
34°C
8%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 22%
32°C 20%
30°C 18%
33°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
$564 Vol.
6%
29°C
$240 Vol.
10%
30°C
$473 Vol.
18%
31°C
$275 Vol.
22%
32°C
$497 Vol.
20%
33°C
$365 Vol.
16%
34°C
$359 Vol.
8%
35°C
$96 Vol.
2%
36°C
$72 Vol.
1%
37°C
$320 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,172 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and official guidance from INMET and global ensembles point to a warm, stable air mass over São Paulo on August 30, with mostly sunny skies, light northwest winds, and low humidity supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 30s°C—above the ~25°C August climatological average. Morning fog or haze may delay initial heating, while afternoon sea-breeze influences or scattered high cloud could cap the peak near official stations. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 30–32°C because short-range forecast spreads remain modest, with ensemble members differing mainly on exact wind direction and boundary-layer mixing; warmer outliers hinge on stronger subsidence and clearer skies, while cooler outcomes depend on earlier moisture return or stronger onshore flow. Updated runs from GFS and ECMWF, plus INMET’s next briefing, will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
Volume
$4,432Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and official guidance from INMET and global ensembles point to a warm, stable air mass over São Paulo on August 30, with mostly sunny skies, light northwest winds, and low humidity supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 30s°C—above the ~25°C August climatological average. Morning fog or haze may delay initial heating, while afternoon sea-breeze influences or scattered high cloud could cap the peak near official stations. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 30–32°C because short-range forecast spreads remain modest, with ensemble members differing mainly on exact wind direction and boundary-layer mixing; warmer outliers hinge on stronger subsidence and clearer skies, while cooler outcomes depend on earlier moisture return or stronger onshore flow. Updated runs from GFS and ECMWF, plus INMET’s next briefing, will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,432Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus and official guidance from INMET and global ensembles point to a warm, stable air mass over São Paulo on August 30, with mostly sunny skies, light northwest winds, and low humidity supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 30s°C—above the ~25°C August climatological average. Morning fog or haze may delay initial heating, while afternoon sea-breeze influences or scattered high cloud could cap the peak near official stations. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 30–32°C because short-range forecast spreads remain modest, with ensemble members differing mainly on exact wind direction and boundary-layer mixing; warmer outliers hinge on stronger subsidence and clearer skies, while cooler outcomes depend on earlier moisture return or stronger onshore flow. Updated runs from GFS and ECMWF, plus INMET’s next briefing, will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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