Official National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on August 31 center on highs of 80–86°F under mostly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, establishing the market-implied odds that place 82–83°F in the lead. Persistent monsoon moisture is increasing cloud cover and convective activity, which limits solar heating and introduces evaporative cooling that caps temperatures relative to clearer, hotter conditions earlier in the week. Model consensus from NOAA guidance shows limited spread in the expected maximum, though small timing shifts in storm development or steering flow could nudge outcomes toward the tightly grouped 80–85°F bins. Updated short-range model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the primary near-term catalysts for any adjustment in trader consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Denver on August 31?
82-83°F 34%
84-85°F 25%
80-81°F 25%
86-87°F 10%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
5%
90°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 34%
84-85°F 25%
80-81°F 25%
86-87°F 10%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
5%
90°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on August 31 center on highs of 80–86°F under mostly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, establishing the market-implied odds that place 82–83°F in the lead. Persistent monsoon moisture is increasing cloud cover and convective activity, which limits solar heating and introduces evaporative cooling that caps temperatures relative to clearer, hotter conditions earlier in the week. Model consensus from NOAA guidance shows limited spread in the expected maximum, though small timing shifts in storm development or steering flow could nudge outcomes toward the tightly grouped 80–85°F bins. Updated short-range model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the primary near-term catalysts for any adjustment in trader consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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