Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum around 19–20°C for São Paulo on August 31, driven by an approaching cold front that will intensify cooling and bring showers after a prolonged warm, dry spell with daytime highs exceeding 30°C. Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight could enhance radiative cooling, while light winds and residual high pressure may limit mixing and allow temperatures to dip toward 18°C or lower in some ensemble members. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty in exact timing of frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture, which differentiates probabilities across the 17–20°C range. Historical August minima average near 12°C, but this year's elevated baseline keeps sub-17°C outcomes less favored absent stronger advection. Updated runs from agencies like INMET or CPTEC ahead of resolution will refine trader-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 31?
21°C 49%
27°C or higher 40%
17°C or below 40%
18°C 31%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
17°C or below
40%
18°C
31%
19°C
31%
20°C
26%
21°C
49%
22°C
26%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
10%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
40%
21°C 49%
27°C or higher 40%
17°C or below 40%
18°C 31%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
40%
18°C
$0 Vol.
31%
19°C
$0 Vol.
31%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$0 Vol.
49%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$220 Vol.
1%
24°C
$140 Vol.
5%
25°C
$0 Vol.
10%
26°C
$80 Vol.
2%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum around 19–20°C for São Paulo on August 31, driven by an approaching cold front that will intensify cooling and bring showers after a prolonged warm, dry spell with daytime highs exceeding 30°C. Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight could enhance radiative cooling, while light winds and residual high pressure may limit mixing and allow temperatures to dip toward 18°C or lower in some ensemble members. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty in exact timing of frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture, which differentiates probabilities across the 17–20°C range. Historical August minima average near 12°C, but this year's elevated baseline keeps sub-17°C outcomes less favored absent stronger advection. Updated runs from agencies like INMET or CPTEC ahead of resolution will refine trader-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$440Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum around 19–20°C for São Paulo on August 31, driven by an approaching cold front that will intensify cooling and bring showers after a prolonged warm, dry spell with daytime highs exceeding 30°C. Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight could enhance radiative cooling, while light winds and residual high pressure may limit mixing and allow temperatures to dip toward 18°C or lower in some ensemble members. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty in exact timing of frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture, which differentiates probabilities across the 17–20°C range. Historical August minima average near 12°C, but this year's elevated baseline keeps sub-17°C outcomes less favored absent stronger advection. Updated runs from agencies like INMET or CPTEC ahead of resolution will refine trader-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$440Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum around 19–20°C for São Paulo on August 31, driven by an approaching cold front that will intensify cooling and bring showers after a prolonged warm, dry spell with daytime highs exceeding 30°C. Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight could enhance radiative cooling, while light winds and residual high pressure may limit mixing and allow temperatures to dip toward 18°C or lower in some ensemble members. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty in exact timing of frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture, which differentiates probabilities across the 17–20°C range. Historical August minima average near 12°C, but this year's elevated baseline keeps sub-17°C outcomes less favored absent stronger advection. Updated runs from agencies like INMET or CPTEC ahead of resolution will refine trader-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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