Current forecasts from global and regional models point to a highest temperature in Tokyo on August 30 most likely in the 26–29°C range, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities clustered around 27–28°C. A northerly wind shift behind recent frontal activity has introduced increased cloud cover and scattered light rain, suppressing peak heating compared with the seasonal average of 30–31°C. The urban heat island effect continues to elevate baseline readings, yet model consensus highlights modest uncertainty tied to exact timing of clearing skies and boundary-layer moisture. Updated runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble systems over the next 48 hours will refine maximum temperature guidance ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 30?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 30?
27°C 29%
28°C 24%
26°C 20%
29°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
20%
27°C
29%
28°C
24%
29°C
13%
30°C
12%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 29%
28°C 24%
26°C 20%
29°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
$22 Vol.
1%
24°C
$20 Vol.
1%
25°C
$45 Vol.
7%
26°C
$5 Vol.
20%
27°C
$17 Vol.
29%
28°C
$68 Vol.
24%
29°C
$12 Vol.
13%
30°C
$42 Vol.
12%
31°C
$0 Vol.
3%
32°C
$80 Vol.
3%
33°C or higher
$240 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global and regional models point to a highest temperature in Tokyo on August 30 most likely in the 26–29°C range, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities clustered around 27–28°C. A northerly wind shift behind recent frontal activity has introduced increased cloud cover and scattered light rain, suppressing peak heating compared with the seasonal average of 30–31°C. The urban heat island effect continues to elevate baseline readings, yet model consensus highlights modest uncertainty tied to exact timing of clearing skies and boundary-layer moisture. Updated runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble systems over the next 48 hours will refine maximum temperature guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$551Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global and regional models point to a highest temperature in Tokyo on August 30 most likely in the 26–29°C range, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities clustered around 27–28°C. A northerly wind shift behind recent frontal activity has introduced increased cloud cover and scattered light rain, suppressing peak heating compared with the seasonal average of 30–31°C. The urban heat island effect continues to elevate baseline readings, yet model consensus highlights modest uncertainty tied to exact timing of clearing skies and boundary-layer moisture. Updated runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble systems over the next 48 hours will refine maximum temperature guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$551Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from global and regional models point to a highest temperature in Tokyo on August 30 most likely in the 26–29°C range, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities clustered around 27–28°C. A northerly wind shift behind recent frontal activity has introduced increased cloud cover and scattered light rain, suppressing peak heating compared with the seasonal average of 30–31°C. The urban heat island effect continues to elevate baseline readings, yet model consensus highlights modest uncertainty tied to exact timing of clearing skies and boundary-layer moisture. Updated runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble systems over the next 48 hours will refine maximum temperature guidance ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan