Recent rainfall and persistent cloud cover across the Sichuan Basin have kept Chengdu's daytime highs near 31°C through August 29, suppressing surface heating. Clearing skies and lighter winds forecast for August 30 should allow greater insolation, supporting afternoon maxima in the 32–34°C range per consensus guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS. With typical late-August humidity near 60% and minimal synoptic forcing, small differences in boundary-layer mixing or residual moisture will determine whether the peak reaches 33°C or edges to 34°C. These closely matched probabilities reflect the narrow spread in official forecasts and the limited historical precedent for exceeding 35°C this late in the season.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
33°C 24%
34°C 23%
32°C 16%
35°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
9%
32°C
16%
33°C
24%
34°C
23%
35°C
12%
36°C
7%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 24%
34°C 23%
32°C 16%
35°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
$1,062 Vol.
2%
29°C
$460 Vol.
3%
30°C
$228 Vol.
6%
31°C
$359 Vol.
9%
32°C
$351 Vol.
16%
33°C
$45 Vol.
24%
34°C
$245 Vol.
23%
35°C
$631 Vol.
12%
36°C
$263 Vol.
7%
37°C
$877 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$912 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rainfall and persistent cloud cover across the Sichuan Basin have kept Chengdu's daytime highs near 31°C through August 29, suppressing surface heating. Clearing skies and lighter winds forecast for August 30 should allow greater insolation, supporting afternoon maxima in the 32–34°C range per consensus guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS. With typical late-August humidity near 60% and minimal synoptic forcing, small differences in boundary-layer mixing or residual moisture will determine whether the peak reaches 33°C or edges to 34°C. These closely matched probabilities reflect the narrow spread in official forecasts and the limited historical precedent for exceeding 35°C this late in the season.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$5,434Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rainfall and persistent cloud cover across the Sichuan Basin have kept Chengdu's daytime highs near 31°C through August 29, suppressing surface heating. Clearing skies and lighter winds forecast for August 30 should allow greater insolation, supporting afternoon maxima in the 32–34°C range per consensus guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS. With typical late-August humidity near 60% and minimal synoptic forcing, small differences in boundary-layer mixing or residual moisture will determine whether the peak reaches 33°C or edges to 34°C. These closely matched probabilities reflect the narrow spread in official forecasts and the limited historical precedent for exceeding 35°C this late in the season.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,434Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent rainfall and persistent cloud cover across the Sichuan Basin have kept Chengdu's daytime highs near 31°C through August 29, suppressing surface heating. Clearing skies and lighter winds forecast for August 30 should allow greater insolation, supporting afternoon maxima in the 32–34°C range per consensus guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS. With typical late-August humidity near 60% and minimal synoptic forcing, small differences in boundary-layer mixing or residual moisture will determine whether the peak reaches 33°C or edges to 34°C. These closely matched probabilities reflect the narrow spread in official forecasts and the limited historical precedent for exceeding 35°C this late in the season.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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