Recent forecast consensus points to cooling on August 29 from an approaching rain system tied to typhoon-related flow, with official Chinese meteorological guidance and international models projecting a daytime high near 32–34 °C amid increasing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. Persistent northeasterly winds and higher humidity will limit daytime heating compared with the 37–38 °C peaks recorded earlier in the week, while precipitation timing and intensity introduce modest uncertainty in the precise maximum. Market-implied odds cluster around 32–33 °C because these conditions reliably cap temperatures below recent values yet fall short of deeper cooling expected after the main rain arrives on the 30th. Updated model runs and local observations through the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 29?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 29?
33°C 27%
32°C 25%
34°C 16%
31°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
14%
32°C
25%
33°C
27%
34°C
16%
35°C
7%
36°C
5%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 27%
32°C 25%
34°C 16%
31°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
27°C or below
$90 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5 Vol.
4%
29°C
$2 Vol.
3%
30°C
$41 Vol.
6%
31°C
$2 Vol.
14%
32°C
$2 Vol.
25%
33°C
$4 Vol.
27%
34°C
$24 Vol.
16%
35°C
$20 Vol.
7%
36°C
$76 Vol.
5%
37°C or higher
$11 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus points to cooling on August 29 from an approaching rain system tied to typhoon-related flow, with official Chinese meteorological guidance and international models projecting a daytime high near 32–34 °C amid increasing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. Persistent northeasterly winds and higher humidity will limit daytime heating compared with the 37–38 °C peaks recorded earlier in the week, while precipitation timing and intensity introduce modest uncertainty in the precise maximum. Market-implied odds cluster around 32–33 °C because these conditions reliably cap temperatures below recent values yet fall short of deeper cooling expected after the main rain arrives on the 30th. Updated model runs and local observations through the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$277Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus points to cooling on August 29 from an approaching rain system tied to typhoon-related flow, with official Chinese meteorological guidance and international models projecting a daytime high near 32–34 °C amid increasing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. Persistent northeasterly winds and higher humidity will limit daytime heating compared with the 37–38 °C peaks recorded earlier in the week, while precipitation timing and intensity introduce modest uncertainty in the precise maximum. Market-implied odds cluster around 32–33 °C because these conditions reliably cap temperatures below recent values yet fall short of deeper cooling expected after the main rain arrives on the 30th. Updated model runs and local observations through the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$277Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus points to cooling on August 29 from an approaching rain system tied to typhoon-related flow, with official Chinese meteorological guidance and international models projecting a daytime high near 32–34 °C amid increasing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. Persistent northeasterly winds and higher humidity will limit daytime heating compared with the 37–38 °C peaks recorded earlier in the week, while precipitation timing and intensity introduce modest uncertainty in the precise maximum. Market-implied odds cluster around 32–33 °C because these conditions reliably cap temperatures below recent values yet fall short of deeper cooling expected after the main rain arrives on the 30th. Updated model runs and local observations through the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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