**Trader consensus has converged on a 31°C high for Chengdu on August 29, 2026, driven by the latest consensus from numerical weather prediction models showing peak afternoon temperatures reaching that threshold under mostly cloudy skies with limited precipitation.** Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and regional meteorological services highlights a daytime maximum near 31°C, consistent with late-August climatology in the Sichuan Basin where humidity and light winds typically support such readings. Model agreement across runs reduces dispersion, supporting the near-certain market-implied probability. Scenarios that could realistically alter this outcome include heavier-than-expected convective rain or stronger cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, or a last-minute model shift toward higher or lower maxima as new observational data are assimilated.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 29?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 29?
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$90,555 Vol.
$90,555 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$90,555 Vol.
$90,555 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
24°C or below
$451 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$17,391 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,785 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$6,608 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$11,507 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,229 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$7,233 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$9,352 Vol.
100%
32°C
$6,375 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$7,708 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$12,915 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 31°C high for Chengdu on August 29, 2026, driven by the latest consensus from numerical weather prediction models showing peak afternoon temperatures reaching that threshold under mostly cloudy skies with limited precipitation.** Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and regional meteorological services highlights a daytime maximum near 31°C, consistent with late-August climatology in the Sichuan Basin where humidity and light winds typically support such readings. Model agreement across runs reduces dispersion, supporting the near-certain market-implied probability. Scenarios that could realistically alter this outcome include heavier-than-expected convective rain or stronger cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, or a last-minute model shift toward higher or lower maxima as new observational data are assimilated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$90,555Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 31°C high for Chengdu on August 29, 2026, driven by the latest consensus from numerical weather prediction models showing peak afternoon temperatures reaching that threshold under mostly cloudy skies with limited precipitation.** Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and regional meteorological services highlights a daytime maximum near 31°C, consistent with late-August climatology in the Sichuan Basin where humidity and light winds typically support such readings. Model agreement across runs reduces dispersion, supporting the near-certain market-implied probability. Scenarios that could realistically alter this outcome include heavier-than-expected convective rain or stronger cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, or a last-minute model shift toward higher or lower maxima as new observational data are assimilated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$90,555Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged on a 31°C high for Chengdu on August 29, 2026, driven by the latest consensus from numerical weather prediction models showing peak afternoon temperatures reaching that threshold under mostly cloudy skies with limited precipitation.** Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and regional meteorological services highlights a daytime maximum near 31°C, consistent with late-August climatology in the Sichuan Basin where humidity and light winds typically support such readings. Model agreement across runs reduces dispersion, supporting the near-certain market-implied probability. Scenarios that could realistically alter this outcome include heavier-than-expected convective rain or stronger cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, or a last-minute model shift toward higher or lower maxima as new observational data are assimilated.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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