Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 28 project a maximum of 28–32°C under weak southwesterly flow and a broad low-pressure trough, with mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and brief afternoon sunny intervals that could allow localized heating. Current district readings have already reached 30–32.9°C by midday, supporting trader consensus on 31–32°C outcomes at combined 84% implied probability. High humidity near 80–95% and frequent convection limit extreme peaks, while model consensus and historical August norms around 31°C keep 33°C or higher at just 11.5%. Real-time HKO updates through the afternoon will resolve whether sun breaks push the daily high to the upper forecast bound.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?
32°C 54%
31°C 32%
33°C 10%
30°C 1.4%
$56,079 Vol.
$56,079 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
32%
32°C
54%
33°C
10%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 54%
31°C 32%
33°C 10%
30°C 1.4%
$56,079 Vol.
$56,079 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
32%
32°C
54%
33°C
10%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 28 project a maximum of 28–32°C under weak southwesterly flow and a broad low-pressure trough, with mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and brief afternoon sunny intervals that could allow localized heating. Current district readings have already reached 30–32.9°C by midday, supporting trader consensus on 31–32°C outcomes at combined 84% implied probability. High humidity near 80–95% and frequent convection limit extreme peaks, while model consensus and historical August norms around 31°C keep 33°C or higher at just 11.5%. Real-time HKO updates through the afternoon will resolve whether sun breaks push the daily high to the upper forecast bound.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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